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Cleveland Indians at Chicago Cubs Free Pick 05/22/18

Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs are facing off against the Cleveland Indians at Wrigley Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will broadcast this interleague matchup.

Cleveland Indians vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Indians have gone 22-23 SU this year and are 18-27 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.9 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 12.8 units ATS. Cleveland is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 25-19 SU and 20-24 ATS. The team’s lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors and 4.2 units ATS. Chicago has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Chicago games have had an over/under record of 19-24-1 thus far in 2018. Indians games have gone over 23 times, gone under 21 times and pushed on one occasion.

Right-hander Trevor Bauer will get the start for Cleveland. Bauer is 3-3 with a 2.59 ERA and 67 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.35 ERA against Chicago this year.

The Cubs are going with righty Tyler Chatwood (3-3, 3.14 ERA), who’s got 40 punchouts and 34 walks to his name, as well as a 1.49 WHIP. Chatwood is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Cleveland this year.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.62, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 9.1.

Chicago’s hitters have put up 5.4 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .299/.402/.465 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Kris Bryant and second baseman Javier Baez have led the Cubs’ batters so far. Bryant is hitting .305/.427/.583 with eight home runs, 24 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Baez is batting .268 with 11 homers, 38 RBIs, 28 runs and five steals.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.42 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 8.39 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.72, along with a K-per-9 of 9.29.

The Indians offense has slashed .245/.316/.431 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Cleveland’s offense has been led by third baseman Jose Ramirez and shortstop Francisco Lindor, who collectively have swatted 25 home runs. Ramirez is slashing .295/.384/.601 with 13 home runs, 31 RBIs, 29 runs and six stolen bases, while Lindor is slashing .298/.370/.564 with 12 homers, 27 RBIs, 36 runs and five stolen bases.

Lindor didn’t perform especially well against righty pitching on the road in 2017. Over 241 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .220/.270/.439 (his overall season line was .273/.337/.505).

The Indians have lost 12.4 units and are 10-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 3.1 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 18 which went under the total.

Cleveland Indians at Chicago Cubs Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cubs, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Indians have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 12 over their last 10.

Chicago has recorded 25.3 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 28.2 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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