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Cleveland Indians vs. Texas Rangers Free Pick 07/20/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians are paying a visit to Arlington to take on the Rangers at Globe Life Park. SportsTime Ohio will be televising this AL matchup and the game gets going at 8:05 p.m. ET.

Cleveland Indians vs. Texas Rangers Odds

Vegas is listing Texas (+165) as the underdog to Cleveland (-175). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 10 runs and -110 for under 10. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Indians -1.5 runs (-120) and Rangers +1.5 runs (+100).

The Indians have gone 52-43 SU this year and are 46-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.5 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Rangers, on the other hand, are 41-56 SU and 45-52 ATS. They’ve lost 6.9 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Texas games have an over/under record of 42-48-7 so far in 2018. The Indians have been a decent over bet with a total record of 50-41-4.

Trevor Bauer will get the start for the visiting Indians. The right-handed Bauer (8-6, 2.24 ERA) has racked up 175 punchouts in 136.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Texas this year.

The Rangers are sending lefty Martin Perez (2-4, 7.67 ERA) to the mound. Perez has 17 strikeouts and 14 walks to his credit, as well as a 2.05 WHIP. Perez hasn’t faced the Indians yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 4.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).

Texas’ pitching staff has yielded 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.31 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.48 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The Texas hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .224/.312/.364 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Rangers’ batters have been led by Shin-soo Choo and Nomar Mazara. Choo is hitting .293/.405/.506 with 18 home runs, 43 RBIs and 54 runs scored, and Mazara’s line is .272/.332/.450 with 15 homers, 58 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.46 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.26 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.28, along with a WHIP of 1.14.

The Indians offense has slashed .255/.328/.438 on its way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Cleveland’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez, who’ve collectively launched 54 home runs. Lindor is slashing .291/.367/.562 with 25 home runs, 62 RBIs, 85 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Ramirez (.302/.401/.628) has produced 29 homers, 70 RBIs, 68 runs and 20 stolen bases.

The Indians have gained 3.0 units and are 15-11 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rangers have lost 5.8 units and are 30-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 26 of those games, compared to 36 that went under the total.

Cleveland Indians at Texas Rangers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Indians, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Cleveland has logged 15 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Texas has 13 XBH over its last five.

The Rangers have lost five of their last six games SU.

Cleveland has posted 23.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 27.2 over its last five.

The Indians have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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