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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Free Pick 09/16/18

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will play host to their NL West foe Colorado Rockies at AT&T Park. The game gets going at 4:05 p.m. ET and the action will be televised on either ATRM or NSBA.

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants Odds

Colorado (-110) is favored against San Francisco (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +135 for the Rockies -1.5 runs and -155 for the Giants +1.5 runs.

The Giants are 80-68 against the spread (ATS), but just 70-79 straight up (SU). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, losing 2.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 7.8 units (ATS). San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Rockies, on the other hand, have gone 81-67 SU this year and are 76-71 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. Colorado’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 61-81-6 in 2018. The Rockies have also been a strong under bet with a total record of 62-79-6.

Antonio Senzatela is getting the nod for the Rockies. The right-handed Senzatela is 4-6 with a 5.01 ERA and 56 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA against San Francisco this year (two starts).

The Giants are turning to Dereck Rodriguez (6-3, 2.35 ERA), who’s got 81 punchouts and 29 walks as well as a 1.05 WHIP. Rodriguez is 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA in one start against Colorado this year.

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.92 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.63 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In 66 divisional games, Giants starters have an ERA of 3.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.19.

The San Francisco hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .212/.265/.252 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is hitting .256/.321/.391 with 12 home runs, 51 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while McCutchen is batting .255 with 15 homers, 55 RBIs, 65 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.31 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.75, along with a K-per-9 of 8.96.

The Rockies offense has slashed .256/.322/.434 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Trevor Story and right fielder Charlie Blackmon have paced Colorado’s offense. Story is slashing .291/.346/.555 with 33 home runs, 102 RBIs, 81 runs and 26 steals. Blackmon (.286/.351/.489) is up to 26 homers, 64 RBIs and 108 runs scored.

The Giants have lost 3.9 units and are 48-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 35 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Colorado has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. San Francisco has six XBH over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit five over their last 10.

San Francisco has posted 15.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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