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Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Preview 08/03/18

John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

The Colorado Rockies are heading east to play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to televise this NL matchup and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-120) is favored over Colorado (+110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. The game’s current runline odds sit at -190 for picking the Rockies +1.5 runs and +165 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Brewers are 61-47 straight up (SU) and 58-53 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 0.9 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Rockies are 56-48 SU and have gone 56-51 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 9.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.2 units ATS. Colorado has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 50-58-3 in 2018. The Rockies have an over/under record of 49-53-5.

Right-hander German Marquez is projected to start for the visiting Rockies. Marquez (9-8, 4.82 ERA) has racked up 120 strikeouts in 115.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are going with righty Junior Guerra (6-7, 3.43 ERA), who has 105 strikeouts and 44 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.29. Guerra hasn’t faced the Rockies yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 6.00 ERA and four strikeouts across three innings).

Colorado’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.33 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.23, along with a K/9 of 8.89.

The Rockies offense has slashed .256/.324/.436 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Colorado’s offensive production has been sparked by third baseman Nolan Arenado and right fielder Charlie Blackmon, who’ve collectively blasted 49 home runs. Arenado is slashing .308/.392/.596 with 28 home runs, 80 RBIs and 71 runs scored. Blackmon (.286/.356/.500) has produced 21 homers, 49 RBIs and 81 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.80, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 3.37 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .276/.325/.431 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is hitting .316/.379/.517 with 15 home runs, 57 RBIs, 72 runs and 13 stolen bases, and Cain’s line sits at .299/.394/.425 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 steals.

The Rockies have gained 4.9 units and are 30-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 34 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.8 units and are 47-38 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 47 that went under.

Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Rockies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Colorado has recorded 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Milwaukee has 18 XBH over its last five.

Colorado has posted 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.4 over its last five.

The Rockies have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit seven over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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