The Kansas City Royals will head north to Target Field to take on their AL Central foe Minnesota Twins. The game gets underway 8:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City is in line to showcase the action.
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Odds
Minnesota (-185) is the favorite over Kansas City (+175) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Runline odds stand at -125 for betting the Royals +1.5 runs and +105 for the Twins -1.5.
The Twins are 59-48 against the spread (ATS), but just 48-56 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 11.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 8.4 units (ATS). Minnesota has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Royals are 33-72 SU and have gone 50-57 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 24.8 units for moneyline bettors and 15.6 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.
Twins games have an over/under record of 50-54-3 in 2018. Royals games have gone under 57 times, gone over 44 times and pushed on six occasions.
Heath Fillmyer is getting the nod for the visiting Royals. Fillmyer is 0-1 with a 3.29 ERA and 15 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Twins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Twins are sending righty Jake Odorizzi (4-7, 4.58 ERA) to the mound. Odorizzi has 118 punchouts and 47 walks to his name, as well as a 1.42 WHIP. Odorizzi is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.
Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.28 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.29 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.36, along with a WHIP of 1.46.
The Royals offense has slashed .241/.305/.374 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Kansas City’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .296/.365/.414 with five home runs, 32 RBIs, 50 runs and 24 steals, while Moustakas is hitting .249 with 20 homers, 62 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff has given up 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 37 divisional games, Twins starters have an ERA of 4.22 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.83.
The Minnesota offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .236/.312/.346 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led the Twins’ batters this year. Rosario is slashing .297/.340/.499 with 19 home runs, 64 RBIs and 69 runs scored, and Escobar’s line sits at .274/.338/.514 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
The Royals have lost 22.4 units and are 30-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under against ies.
Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in three of Kansas City’s last seven games.
Minnesota has posted 21.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.4 over its last five.
The Royals have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit six over their last 10.
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