It will be a battle between A10 opponents when the George Mason Patriots (11-14, 5-7 A10) welcome the Dayton Flyers (11-13, 5-7 A10) to EagleBank Arena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 14, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 148 points with Dayton set as a 5-point favorite.
Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots Betting Prediction
The Flyers are hoping for a better outcome after their 88-84 loss to the VCU Rams in their last outing. VCU’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Dayton. The Rams had a rate of 16.8 (worse than their season average of 16.5), while the Flyers posted a mark of 20.3 (above the 16.2 mark opponents have averaged against VCU this season). Jalen Crutcher was Dayton’s high scorer with 21 points on 8-for-17 shooting.
The last time the Patriots played, they beat the George Washington Colonials, 72-65. The Patriots had a phenomenal free throw rate of 0.333 (above their season average of 0.232) and held the Colonials to an offensive rebounding percentage of 20.5 (below their season average of 30.2). With 12 points and 12 rebounds, George Mason’s Jaire Grayer had a solid performance.
The sweet-shooting offense of Dayton will battle against the bottom-tier defense of George Mason. The Flyers rank 25th in effective field goal percentage (0.563), while the Patriots are 268th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.522). The Flyers figure to have the edge on that end of the court.
Dayton comes into the game with records of 11-13 straight up (SU) and 9-15 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Flyers are involved, as 58.3 percent of their games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, George Mason owns records of 11-14 SU and 9-12 ATS. Coinciding with Dayton, Patriots games also tend to finish over the total (57.1 percent).
Otis Livingston II has averaged 20.6 points, 4.4 assists and 1.6 steals over the last five games for George Mason.
After the Flyers won the lone contest against the Patriots last season, 83-70, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Flyers had a much better turnover percentage (6.4 vs. 19.7) and had a better free throw rate (0.270 vs. 0.197).
Dayton Flyers vs. George Mason Patriots Pick
Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Dayton, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Dayton is 3-8 ATS with 6 overs and 5 unders.
At home, George Mason is 3-7 ATS with 5 overs and 5 unders.
Dayton ranks 34th in assists per game (16.5) while George Mason ranks 238th (11.6).
The Flyers average 24.5 three pointers per game, which ranks 62nd in the nation. The Patriots rank 243rd in three pointers allowed per game (24.5).
George Mason ranks 107th in rebounds per game (36.5) while Dayton ranks 283rd (31.9).
The Flyers rank 16th in blocks allowed per game (2.4) while the Patriots rank 188th (4.6).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Dayton is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
George Mason is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Flyers have been outscored by an average of 0.4 points in their last five games. On the season, Dayton has defeated opponents by an average of 0.4 points.
During their last five games, the Patriots have scored an average of 72.4 points per game (1.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 75.2 points per game (0.5 below their season average).
