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Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Indians Free Pick 05/25/18

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Indians will play host to the Houston Astros at Progressive Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will broadcast this AL matchup.

Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Cleveland (-145) as the favorite over Houston (+135). The total stands at seven runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Runline odds sit at -160 for taking the Astros +1.5 runs and +140 for the Indians -1.5 runs.

The Astros have gone 33-18 SU this year and are 28-22 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 4.0 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 24-24 SU and 20-27 ATS. They’ve lost 9.3 units for moneyline bettors and 10.4 units ATS.

Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 24-22-1 thus far in 2018. Astros games have gone under 31 times, gone over 16 times and pushed on three occasions.

Southpaw Dallas Keuchel is the probable starter for the visiting Astros. Keuchel is 3-6 with a 3.43 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians will send righty Corey Kluber (7-2, 2.36 ERA) to the mound. Kluber has 71 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.84. Kluber is 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA in one start against Houston this year.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.37, a WHIP of 1.11 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 5.56 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

Cleveland’s offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .230/.315/.342 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Francisco Lindor has helped lead the Indians’ offense this season with 12 home runs, 27 RBIs, 39 runs and five steals.

For the visitors, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.26 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 10.57 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.69, along with a WHIP of 0.94 and a K-per-9 of 9.81.

Astros hitters have slashed .257/.334/.414 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Jose Altuve has led Houston’s offense and is slashing .306/.357/.403 with 63 hits, 22 RBIs and 25 runs scored. He performed well against righty pitching on the road in 2017. Across 248 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .393/.460/.680 (compared to his overall season line of .345/.409/.547).

The Astros just took the previous game in this series by a final score of eight runs to two.

Houston Astros at Cleveland Indians Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in four of Cleveland’s last seven games.

Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 outings.

Cleveland has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.6 over its last five.

The Astros have won seven of their last eight games SU.

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