The Atlanta Braves will head north to play the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. New England Sports Network will broadcast this interleague matchup and the action gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Odds
Boston (-175) is the favorite against Atlanta (+165) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -135 for the Braves +1.5 runs and +115 for the Red Sox -1.5.
The Braves are 29-19 SU and are 29-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 12.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.8 units ATS. Atlanta is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 34-16 SU and 26-23 ATS. They’ve gained 11.4 units for moneyline bettors and 2.8 units ATS. Boston has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Red Sox games have had an over/under record of 22-25-2 so far in 2018. The Braves have an over/under record of 22-23-3.
Julio Teheran will get the nod for the visiting Braves. The right-handed Teheran is 4-1 with a 4.17 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Red Sox are turning to lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (4-1, 4.13 ERA), who has 58 punchouts and 16 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.25. Rodriguez did not record a start against the Braves in 2017.
Atlanta’s pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.44 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.51, along with a K/9 of 8.95.
Braves hitters have slashed .264/.337/.428 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led Atlanta’s offense. Markakis is slashing .344/.412/.510 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Freeman is hitting .324 with nine homers, 35 RBIs, 32 runs and five stolen bases.
Maintaining a slash line of .278/.357/.524 across 143 plate appearances, Freeman did not do as well hitting against left-handed pitchers last year (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).
In the home-team dugout, Boston’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.62, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.9. The bullpen has a 3.33 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Boston hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .234/.331/.462 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Red Sox hitters have been led by Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez. Betts is hitting .362/.436/.751 with 16 home runs, 35 RBIs, 49 runs and 12 stolen bases, while Martinez’s line is .328/.383/.645 with 15 homers, 41 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
Martinez appeared to enjoy hitting at home last season, slashing .355/.439/.820 over 253 plate appearances (his total season line was .303/.376/.690).
The Braves have gained 6.3 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to five that’ve gone under against righty starters.
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Boston has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.2 over its last five.
The Braves have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 17 over their last 10.
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