The Memphis Grizzlies (17-30) go head-to-head against the Los Angeles Clippers (23-24) at FedExForum. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, January 26, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
Los Angeles Clippers at Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction
The Clippers are trying to rebound after their 113-102 loss to the Boston Celtics in their last contest. Boston’s 11.2 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Los Angeles, who had a rate of 16.5. The Celtics’ mark was better than their season average of 12.6, while the Clippers’ was above their season average of 13.2. Blake Griffin was the top scorer from either team with 23 points on 8-for-21 shooting.
In the Grizzlies’ last game, they were blown out by the San Antonio Spurs, 108-85. San Antonio was effective at getting to and converting from the free throw line. The Spurs made 22 of their 25 free throws (88.0 percent), while the Grizzlies were 11-14 (78.6 percent). With 18 points on 6-for-13 shooting, Marc Gasol was the top scorer from either team.
The physical Memphis offense might be living from the foul line in this matchup. The Grizzlies rank eighth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.220, while Los Angeles ranks 26th in FTA rate allowed (0.216).
Los Angeles heads into the contest with records of 23-24 straight up (SU) and 25-21-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total low when the Clippers are involved, as 27 of their 47 games have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Memphis owns records of 17-30 SU and 20-25-2 ATS. Unlike Los Angeles, Grizzlies games have a tendency to go under the projected point total (57.4 percent).
The Grizzlies lead the season series against the Clippers two games to one, but fell short the last time these two teams met, 113-105. Memphis covered as a 6-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 218 points, which was 12.5 points above the projected point total of 205.5 points. Los Angeles did a terrific job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (26-31; 83.9 percent). Memphis, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 vs. 12.5). Lou Williams scored a game-high 33 points.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
Los Angeles is 12-9-1 ATS on the road with 12 overs and 10 unders.
At home, Memphis is 11-14-1 ATS with 17 unders and 9 overs.
Los Angeles is 10-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Memphis is 11-9.
The Grizzlies are 12-10 when they score more than 100 points, while the Clippers are 21-17.
Memphis averages 13.8 fast break points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
The Grizzlies rank third in steals allowed per game (6.9) while the Clippers rank 24th (8.5).
Los Angeles ranks fifth in second chance points per game (13.8) while Memphis ranks 24th (10.8).
The Clippers rank third in points in the paint per game (49.0) while the Grizzlies rank 20th (42.4).
Los Angeles ranks 14th in blocks per game (4.8) while Memphis ranks 27th in blocks allowed per game (5.4).
The Grizzlies average 17.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Clippers rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.6).
Los Angeles ranks 16th in rebounds per game (43.1) while Memphis ranks 28th (40.3).
The Clippers rank 22nd in assists per game (21.8) while the Grizzlies rank 27th (20.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Memphis is 4-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over their last five games.
The Clippers have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Los Angeles has defeated opponents by an average of 0.1 points.
During their last five games, the Grizzlies have scored an average of 101.0 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 101.4 points per game (0.8 below their season average).
