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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Free Preview 05/17/18

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be squaring off against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox SportsNet Florida will showcase this NL showdown and the game is slated to get underway at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Los Angeles (-155) is the favorite over Miami (+145) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (+105 for the under and -125 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins 1.5 runs (-110).

The Marlins are 16-26 SU and 21-20 ATS. The team has lost 1.9 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units against the spread (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, have gone 16-26 SU this year and are 13-28 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 26.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in this young season and 16.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Marlins games have a 20-21 over/under record so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 20-20-1.

Kenta Maeda will get the start for the visiting Dodgers. The right-handed Maeda is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 46 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins are planning to start lefty Caleb Smith (2-4, 3.63 ERA), who has 53 strikeouts and 19 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.24. Smith has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 5.3 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.67 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.52 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Miami offense has put up 3.5 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .307/.368/.464 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Marlins’ batters have been led by first baseman Justin Bour and catcher J.T. Realmuto. Bour is slashing .246/.387/.484 with nine home runs, 23 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Realmuto’s line is .316/.375/.558 with six homers, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .278/.332/.451, Realmuto appeared to take a step back when facing righty pitching at home last year, producing .194/.260/.269 across 204 plate appearances.

In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.61 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.93 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.54, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .238/.320/.387 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).

Catcher Yasmani Grandal and first baseman Cody Bellinger have led Los Angeles’ offense. Grandal is slashing .278/.383/.516 with seven home runs, 26 RBIs and 21 runs scored, while Bellinger (.270/.330/.478) has produced six homers, 19 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .247/.308/.459, Grandal seemed to have a little trouble hitting left-handed pitching on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .143/.250/.238 across 48 such plate appearances.

The Dodgers have lost 4.5 units and are 6-9 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 2.5 units and are 14-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 16 that’ve cashed the under.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Dodgers have lost nine of their last 10 games SU.

Los Angeles has posted 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.8 over its last five.

The Dodgers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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