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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Free Pick 05/17/18

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels are playing host to the Tampa Bay Rays at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Fox Sports Sun is in line to showcase this AL showdown and the action gets underway at 10:07 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds

Los Angeles (-150) is the favorite over Tampa Bay (+140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -155 for the Rays +1.5 runs and +135 for the Angels -1.5.

The Rays are 19-22 SU and are 19-21 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 3.2 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread only once over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, are 25-18 SU and 22-20 ATS. The team has gained 7.2 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units ATS. Los Angeles has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 21-20-1 so far in 2018. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 21-17-2.

Chris Archer is getting the nod for the Rays. The right-handed Archer is 2-3 with a 5.64 ERA and 52 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 3.00 ERA and nine strikeouts across six innings).

The Angels will be sending lefty Tyler Skaggs (3-2, 3.07 ERA) to the mound. Skaggs has 46 punchouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Skaggs did not record a start against the Rays in 2017.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.77, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Los Angeles’ offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .193/.297/.267 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led the charge for the Angels’ hitters this year. Trout is slashing .298/.440/.616 with 12 home runs, 25 RBIs, 34 runs and eight stolen bases, while Simmons is hitting .342 with three homers, 23 RBIs, 26 runs and five steals.

Trout seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching at home last season, slashing .352/.468/.753 in 203 such plate appearances (his total season line was .306/.442/.629).

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.51 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.01 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.65, along with a K-per-9 of 8.62.

The Rays offense has slashed .262/.333/.399 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

First baseman C.J. Cron and second baseman Daniel Robertson have led Tampa Bay’s offense. Cron is slashing .289/.339/.522 with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and 24 runs scored, while Robertson (.260/.408/.427) is up to three homers, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Cron enjoyed hitting against lefty pitching on the road in 2017, putting up a slash line of .244/.261/.600 across 46 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .248/.305/.437).

The Rays have gained 1.1 units and are 9-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 6.8 units and are 18-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The Rays have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

Tampa Bay has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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