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Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick 05/17/18

Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals are prepared to battle against the Philadelphia Phillies at Busch Stadium. This NL matchup will get underway at 7:15 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Midwest.

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (-125) is favored against Philadelphia (+115) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -180 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +160 for the Cardinals -1.5.

The Cardinals are 23-17 SU and 18-21 ATS. They’ve gained 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.8 units against the spread (ATS). On the other hand, the Phillies are 24-16 SU and have gone 18-21 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 5.0 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season, but have lost 5.2 units ATS.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 15-21-3 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 18-18-3.

The right-handed Vince Velasquez will get the nod for Philadelphia. Velasquez is 3-4 with a 5.05 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Cardinals are handing the ball to righty Luke Weaver (3-2, 4.91 ERA), who’s got 36 strikeouts and 16 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.36. Weaver did not record a start against the Phillies in 2017.

St. Louis’ pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.13, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 3.86 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The St. Louis hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .236/.319/.390 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Tommy Pham has helped lead the Cardinals’ offense this season with eight home runs, 18 RBIs, 30 runs and seven steals. Pham seemed to have some trouble hitting righties at home last year. Over 183 such plate appearances, he slashed .257/.377/.355 (compared to his overall season line of .306/.411/.520).

In the visiting dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.46 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.69 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.30, along with a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.37.

Phillies hitters have slashed .242/.334/.402 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Philadelphia’s offense has been spearheaded by Odubel Herrera, who is slashing .357/.426/.552 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

The Phillies just got a 4-1 victory over the Orioles, while the Cardinals are coming off of a 7-5 win against the Twins.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in only one of St. Louis’ last seven games.

The Phillies have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 12 over their last 10.

St. Louis has posted 18.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.4 over its last five.

The Phillies have won six of their last seven games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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