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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick 09/28/18

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are facing off against the Los Angeles Dodgers at AT&T Park. Spectrum SportsNet LA will broadcast the matchup and the game gets underway at 10:15 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Los Angeles (-155) as the favorite over San Francisco (+145). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over seven runs and +100 for under seven. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Dodgers -1.5 runs (-110) and Giants +1.5 runs (-110).

The Dodgers are 88-71 SU and have gone 71-88 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 25.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 17.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 73-86 SU and 86-73 ATS. They’ve lost 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 7.4 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Giants games have an over/under record of 67-86-6 in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 75-76-8.

Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu is the projected starter for Los Angeles. Ryu (6-3, 2.00 ERA) has recorded 86 strikeouts in 76.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.54 ERA against San Francisco this year (two starts).

The Giants are sending lefty Madison Bumgarner (6-6, 3.20 ERA) to the mound. Bumgarner has 103 punchouts and 42 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.24. Bumgarner is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 3.75 ERA over two starts against Los Angeles this year.

San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.97, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 3.66 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 73 games against divisional opponents, Giants starters have an ERA of 3.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.08.

San Francisco’s offense is putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .203/.245/.291 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen have led the Giants’ batters this year. Crawford is slashing .255/.322/.396 with 14 home runs, 54 RBIs and 61 runs scored, while McCutchen is hitting .255 with 15 homers, 55 RBIs and 65 runs scored.

For the visitors, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.22 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 9.55 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.74, along with a K/9 of 9.63.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .248/.333/.437 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Los Angeles’ hitters have been paced by first baseman Cody Bellinger and right fielder Chris Taylor, who collectively have swatted 41 home runs. Bellinger is slashing .261/.346/.471 with 24 home runs, 73 RBIs and 83 runs scored, while Taylor is hitting .253/.329/.445 with 17 homers, 62 RBIs and 81 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 3.4 units and are 31-32 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 22 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 2.3 units and are 34-27 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 29 of those games, compared to 30 that went under the total.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of Los Angeles’ last seven outings.

The Dodgers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

Los Angeles has recorded 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.8 over its last five.

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