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Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview 09/28/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays will head south to face their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. Fox Sports Sun will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Toronto (+145) is entering this game as the underdog to Tampa Bay (-155) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -150 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +130 for the Rays -1.5 runs.

The Rays are 88-71 straight up (SU) and 90-68 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 24.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 23.4 units (ATS). The Blue Jays are 72-87 SU and have gone 70-89 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 30.0 units ATS.

Tampa Bay games have had an over/under record of 70-83-5 in 2018. The Blue Jays have been a decent over bet with a total record of 79-71-9.

Thomas Pannone is getting the start for the visiting Blue Jays. Pannone is 4-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against Tampa Bay this year.

The Rays are handing the ball to righty Tyler Glasnow (2-7, 4.23 ERA), who’s got 127 punchouts and 50 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Glasnow is 0-2 with 14 strikeouts and an 8.49 ERA over three starts against Toronto this year.

Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.09 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.43, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K/9 of 9.08.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .244/.313/.426 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Toronto’s offense has been powered by outfielder Kevin Pillar and first baseman Justin Smoak, who’ve collectively swatted 40 home runs. Pillar is hitting .248/.277/.420 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs, 63 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Smoak (.242/.351/.458) has produced 25 homers, 77 RBIs and 67 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.69, a WHIP of 1.17 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 73 games against divisional opponents, Rays starters have an ERA of 4.97 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.80.

The Tampa Bay hitters have put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .155/.260/.284 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Third baseman Matt Duffy and second baseman Joey Wendle have led the Rays’ hitters this year. Duffy is hitting .294/.361/.366 with four home runs, 44 RBIs and 59 runs scored, while Wendle’s line is .300/.354/.435 with seven homers, 58 RBIs, 60 runs and 15 steals.

The Blue Jays have gained 11.6 units and are 49-58 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 55 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against y starters.

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in three of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.

Tampa Bay has posted 22.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 13.0 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit nine over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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