The Philadelphia 76ers (16-8) take on the Memphis Grizzlies (13-8) at the Wells Fargo Center. The game starts at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 2, 2018.
Philadelphia is a 6-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 213.5 points.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Prediction
The last time the Grizzlies played, they covered the 2.5-point spread against the Brooklyn Nets, 131-125. The total points for the game (256) finished well over the O/U total of 206. Memphis was lights out from beyond the arc (12-30; 40.0 percent). Brooklyn, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (25-30; 83.3 percent). Memphis was lifted by Mike Conley, who was the game’s high scorer with 37 points on 13-for-25 shooting.
The 76ers dismantled the Washington Wizards in their last game, 123-98, easily covering as 8.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (221) were under the projected point total of 233.5. The 76ers, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.8, had a phenomenal mark of 33.3, while the Wizards had a free throw rate of 0.174 (below their season average of 0.230). Joel Embiid was Philadelphia’s leading scorer with 16 points on 5-for-12 shooting from the field.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Conley scored a game-high 32 points in the first matchup, in which the Grizzlies defeated the 76ers 112-106, covering as 4.5-point favorites. He also had 6 assists. The game finished with a total of 218 points, which was 6.5 points above the projected point total of 211.5 points. Memphis had a much better turnover percentage (9.1 vs. 20.0). Philadelphia, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.565 vs. 0.490).
Memphis comes into the game with records of 13-8 straight up (SU) and 13-8 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Grizzlies have finished under the projected point total 52.4 percent of the time.
Philadelphia has a solid 16-8 SU record, but they are just 10-14 ATS. 76ers games tend to go over the total (62.5 percent).
Marc Gasol and Conley have played well over the last five games for Memphis. Gasol has averaged 24 points,10.0 rebounds,4.2 assists,2.4 blocks,1.4 steals per game. Not to be outdone, Conley has put up 24 points,8.8 assists,1.4 steals a game during that span.
This could end up being a sloppy game for the offense of Philadelphia. Philadelphia ranks 26th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Memphis forces the second-most turnovers in the league (16.1 percent). Also, put-back points could be rare for the Grizzlies. They rank 29th in the NBA in offensive rebounding percentage at 17.9 percent, while the 76ers are fifth-best on the defensive glass (defensive rebounding percentage of 78.6 percent).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Philadelphia 76ers Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Grizzlies, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Memphis is 6-5 ATS with 6 unders and 5 overs.
At home, Philadelphia is 7-6 ATS with 8 overs and 5 unders.
Memphis is 6-2 when they allow less than 100 points, while Philadelphia is 5-0.
The 76ers are 16-6 when they score more than 100 points, while the Grizzlies are 10-4.
Philadelphia ranks fifth in rebounds per game (48.1) while Memphis ranks last (39.5).
The Grizzlies average 19.6 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The 76ers rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.3).
Memphis ranks fifth in steals per game (9.0) while Philadelphia ranks 25th (6.9).
The 76ers rank ninth in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (16.3).
Memphis ranks third in points allowed in the paint per game (42.8) while Philadelphia ranks 18th (49.3).
The 76ers rank 15 in three pointers attempted per game (31.75) while the Grizzlies rank 25 (27.857142857142858).
Philadelphia ranks 18 in second chance points per game (12.958333333333334) while Memphis ranks 28 (9.571428571428571).
The 76ers rank 3 in assists per game (26.666666666666668) while the Grizzlies rank 13 (23.952380952380953).
Memphis ranks 8 in blocks per game (5.9523809523809526) while Philadelphia ranks 15 in blocks allowed per game (4.958333333333333).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Memphis is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Philadelphia is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Grizzlies have been outscored by an average of 2.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Memphis has defeated opponents by an average of 1.8 points.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 120.0 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.0 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
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