Marlins vs Braves
Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Matchup 05/19/18

The Miami Marlins will be facing off against their NL East rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. Fox SportsNet Florida is in line to televise the matchup and the first pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Miami (+170) is hosting this one as the underdog against Atlanta (-180) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Marlins +1.5 runs (-130) and Braves +-1.5 runs (+110).

The Braves are 26-17 SU and 27-15 ATS. The team’s gained 13.6 units for moneyline bettors and 12.7 units against the spread (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Marlins are 17-27 SU and have gone 22-20 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 1.5 units ATS. Miamihas covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Braves games have an over/under record of 20-19-3 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 21-21.

Jose Urena is getting the nod for the visiting Marlins. The right-handed Urena is 0-6 with a 4.38 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Atlanta this year (five starts).

The Braves will put the ball in the left hand of Sean Newcomb (4-1, 2.51 ERA), who has 54 punchouts and 22 walks this season as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Newcomb is 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across one starts against Miami this year.

Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.41, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 26 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 2.86 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.59.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .210/.315/.369 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have paced the Braves’ hitters so far. Freeman is slashing .319/.431/.556 with eight home runs, 32 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and the line for Markakis stands at .343/.415/.529 with seven homers, 30 RBIs and 30 runs.

Freeman seemed to enjoy hitting righties at home in 2017, slashing .362/.475/.638 over 160 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.62 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.82 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.42, along with a K-per-9 of 9.41.

The Marlins offense has slashed .230/.300/.340 on its way to 3.4 runs scored per game this year, including 3.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Backstop J.T. Realmuto and first baseman Justin Bour have led Miami’s hitters. Realmuto is hitting .313/.376/.566 with six home runs, 13 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Bour is hitting .238/.373/.462 with nine homers, 23 RBIs and 15 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .278/.332/.451, Realmuto seemed to enjoy hitting on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .323/.369/.543 across 314 plate appearances.

The Braves have gained 8.3 units and are 20-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.

Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

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Betting Notes

The Marlins have won three of their last four games SU.

Atlanta has posted 19.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.4 over its last five.

The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit 15 over their last 10.


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