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Milwaukee Brewers at Cleveland Indians Matchup 06/05/18

David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers will head east to take on the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. This interleague matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio is in line to broadcast the game.

Milwaukee Brewers at Cleveland Indians Odds

Vegas is listing Cleveland (-220) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+200). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. The game’s current runline odds stand at -110 for betting the Brewers +1.5 runs and -110 for the Indians -1.5.

The Brewers have gone 37-23 SU this year and are 34-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 15.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 30-28 SU and 25-33 ATS. They’ve lost 9.7 units for moneyline bettors and 11.8 units ATS. Cleveland has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Indians games have a 33-23-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a good under bet with a total record of 23-35-2.

Right-hander Junior Guerra is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Guerra is 3-3 with a 2.65 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians are handing the ball to righty Corey Kluber (8-2, 2.02 ERA), who has 88 punchouts and 10 walks, as well as a 0.84 WHIP. Kluber is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.13 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.26 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.68, along with a WHIP of 1.28 and a K-per-9 of 10.38.

Brewers hitters have slashed .247/.319/.407 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been powered by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .273/.385/.429 with seven home runs, 17 RBIs, 36 runs and 11 steals, while Yelich (.298/.373/.473) has produced seven homers, 26 RBIs, 36 runs and seven steals.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.62 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 6.02 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

The Cleveland offense has put up 5.0 runs per contest, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .265/.346/.488 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led the Indians’ batters this year. Lindor is hitting .305/.379/.565 with 14 home runs, 35 RBIs, 45 runs and six steals, and Ramirez’s line is .299/.397/.624 with 18 homers, 41 RBIs, 42 runs and seven stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 15.8 units and are 28-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 10.3 units and are 16-23 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to 15 that went under.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cleveland Indians MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Milwaukee has posted 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.2 over its last five.

The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Indians have hit 20 over their last 10.

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