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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Free Preview 06/05/18

Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners are making a road trip to Houston to play their division rival Astros at Minute Maid Park. ATTSN Southwest is in line to showcase the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros Odds

Seattle (+115) is entering this game as the underdog against Houston (-125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -180 for the Mariners +1.5 runs and +160 for the Astros -1.5 runs.

The Astros are 37-24 SU and 33-28 ATS. They’ve lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 4.0 units against the spread (ATS). Houston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Mariners are 37-22 SU and have gone 31-28 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 12.3 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. Seattle’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Astros games have an over/under record of 24-33-4 so far in 2018. Seattle has an over/under record of 29-30.

Southpaw James Paxton will get the start for the visiting Mariners. Paxton is 4-1 with a 3.13 ERA and 95 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Houston this year (four starts).

The Astros are turning to lefty Dallas Keuchel (3-7, 3.65 ERA), who has 60 punchouts and 21 walks as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Keuchel is 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA over one starts against Seattle this year.

As a unit, Houston’s pitching staff has given up 2.9 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 2.69 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 3.13, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 26 games against divisional opponents, Astros starters have an ERA of 2.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.25.

Houston’s offense is putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .227/.304/.387 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Astros’ offense has been led by second baseman Jose Altuve and right fielder George Springer. Altuve is slashing .329/.375/.454 with four home runs, 29 RBIs, 34 runs and eight stolen bases, and Springer’s line sits at .290/.360/.508 with 13 homers, 36 RBIs and 46 runs.

For the visitors, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.98 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.96 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.53, along with a K-per-9 of 10.46.

Mariners hitters have slashed .257/.324/.412 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Seattle’s hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .331/.351/.470 with four home runs, 37 RBIs, 43 runs and 12 steals, while Gordon (.296/.319/.379) is up to one homers, 14 RBIs, 26 runs and 19 stolen bases.

The Mariners have lost 0.4 units and are 10-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in eight of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Astros have lost 3.7 units and are 11-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s cashed in nine of those games, compared to 11 that went under the total.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Seattle has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.

The Mariners have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 16 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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