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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Free Pick 07/27/18

John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers are making a road trip to AT&T Park to take on the San Francisco Giants. This NL matchup will begin at 10:15 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Net Wisconsin to catch the action.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Milwaukee (+130) is the underdog to San Francisco (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Brewers +1.5 runs (-170) and Giants -1.5 runs (+150).

The Giants are 52-51 straight up (SU) and 58-45 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 7.0 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Brewers have gone 58-46 SU this year and are 53-51 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 9.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 0.8 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

San Francisco games have had an over/under record of 47-53-3 in 2018. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 46-55-3.

Chase Anderson will get the nod for Milwaukee. The right-handed Anderson is 6-7 with a 3.81 ERA and 87 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and four strikeouts across seven and two-third innings).

The Giants are turning to lefty Madison Bumgarner (3-3, 3.19 ERA), who’s got 46 punchouts and 23 walks to his name as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Bumgarner did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.86 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.31, along with a K/9 of 10.14.

Brewers hitters have slashed .244/.317/.406 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .310/.377/.500 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs, 64 runs and 13 steals. Cain is hitting .296 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 52 runs and 18 steals.

For the home team, San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.55 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters have produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .221/.254/.354 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen have led the charge for the Giants’ offense this year. Crawford is slashing .284/.354/.447 with 10 home runs, 41 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while McCutchen’s line sits at .257/.348/.411 with 10 homers, 42 RBIs, 51 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Brewers have lost 0.3 units and are 10-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 7.5 units and are 37-25 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 25 of those games, compared to 34 that went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Francisco Giants Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Milwaukee has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Francisco has 13 XBH over its last five.

Milwaukee fielders have 10 errors over the last 10 games, compared to five errors for San Francisco over its last 10.

Both teams have hit seven home runs over their last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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