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Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Betting Preview 08/06/18

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins will head east to play their division rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio is in line to televise the matchup.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Minnesota (+175) is the underdog to Cleveland (-185) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. The game’s runline odds stand at -125 for picking the Twins +1.5 runs and +105 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 60-49 straight up (SU) and 53-56 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 15.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.9 units (ATS). The Twins are 51-58 SU and have gone 61-48 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 9.0 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 10.4 units ATS.

Cleveland games have a 56-49-4 over/under record in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 52-54-3.

Kyle Gibson will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Gibson (5-8, 3.47 ERA) has racked up 132 strikeouts in 135 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 2.89 ERA against Cleveland this year (three starts).

The Indians will send righty Trevor Bauer (10-6, 2.34 ERA) to the mound. Bauer has 195 strikeouts and 53 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Bauer is 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.75 ERA over two starts against Minnesota this year.

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.30 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.65, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K-per-9 of 9.44.

Twins hitters have slashed .244/.317/.402 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led Minnesota’s offense. Rosario is slashing .298/.339/.502 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 72 runs scored. Escobar is hitting .274 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the home team, Cleveland’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 3.43 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.91.

The Cleveland offense has produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .241/.333/.392 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Lindor is hitting .291/.373/.559 with 27 home runs, 67 RBIs, 94 runs and 16 steals, while Ramirez’s line sits at .300/.406/.624 with 32 homers, 79 RBIs, 77 runs and 26 stolen bases.

The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 42-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 36 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 18.9 units and are 37-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.

The Indians have won three of their last four games SU.

Minnesota has recorded 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.

The Twins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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