Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Odds
Minnesota (-115) is favored over Detroit (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Twins -1.5 runs (+130) and Tigers +1.5 runs (-150).
The Twins are 29-35 SU and are 37-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.5 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 10.1 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 32-37 SU and 37-31 ATS. They’ve gained 4.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.4 units ATS. Detroit has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Tigers games have had an over/under record of 29-37-2 so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 29-32-2.
Lance Lynn is getting the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Lynn (4-4, 5.08 ERA) has racked up 62 strikeouts in 62 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers will put the ball in the right hand of Michael Fulmer (2-5, 4.40 ERA), who has 62 strikeouts and 27 walks this season as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Fulmer is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.
As a unit, Detroit’s pitching staff has given up 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.22 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.44 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 31 games against divisional opponents, Tigers starters have an ERA of 3.75 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.29.
The Detroit hitters have put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .227/.282/.337 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Tigers’ offense has been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias. Castellanos is slashing .310/.351/.480 with six home runs, 34 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Iglesias is batting .261 with 60 hits, 25 RBIs, 24 runs and 10 stolen bases.
For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.17 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.31 and a K/9 of 8.87.
The Twins offense has slashed .239/.315/.404 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar continue to lead Minnesota’s offense. Rosario is slashing .311/.349/.551 with 14 home runs, 43 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Escobar (.291/.341/.570) is up to 12 homers, 41 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 3.9 units and are 27-19 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 2.3 units and are 24-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 29 which went under the total.
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Tigers, O/U – OVER
The over has cashed in only two of Detroit’s last seven games.
The Twins have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit four over their last 10.
Detroit has posted 18.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.6 over its last five.
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