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Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles – Week 5 Free Betting Pick

Dec 10, 2017; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Philadelphia Eagles tight end Trey Burton (88) celebrates his first half touchdown against the Los Angeles Rams with teammate wide receiver Nelson Agholor (13) at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Vikings and Philadelphia Eagles will go at it on the grass at Lincoln Financial Field. This late afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 4:25 p.m. ET and interested parties can catch the action live on FOX.

Minnesota Vikings                +3           +130       ov 44½
Philadelphia Eagles              -3            -150        un 44½

Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu

Minnesota Vikings vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Preview

This Sunday NFC matchup showcases the Vikings as the dogs and they’re currently getting 3 points. The Vikings are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -150. There might be multiple good live betting scenarios for this game, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points.

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The Vikings are 1-2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 2-2. The Eagles have lost 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-3 ATS and also have an even O/U record of 2-2.

The Vikings have gone 1-2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Eagles are 2-2 SU.

The Vikes are most-recently on the rebound after a 38-31 defeat to the Rams in Week 4 where Kirk Cousins completed 36 passes on 50 attempts for 422 yards and three touchdowns. Dalvin Cook (20 yards on 10 rush attempts) spearheaded the running attack in the loss. Stefon Diggs (11 receptions, 123 yards) and Adam Thielen (eight catches, 135 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

Philadelphia narrowly lost a 26-23 game to Tennessee in Week 4. The defensive secondary let the Titans air it out for 344 yards and two touchdowns. Corey Davis was a force to be reckoned with, recording 161 yards on nine catches for Tennessee. For Philadelphia, Carson Wentz completed 33-of-50 passes for 348 yards and two touchdowns. Jay Ajayi (70 rushing yards on 15 attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Zach Ertz (10 receptions, 112 yards) and Alshon Jeffery (eight catches, 105 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

Minnesota has run the ball on 27.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Philadelphia has an overall rush percentage of 38.8 percent. The Vikings have produced 63 rush yards per game and have yet to record a score via handoffs this year. The Eagles are logging 118 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

If 2018 numbers are any indication, then the Eagles ought to have an edge when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.4 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Vikings have tallied 3.5 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents.

The Vikes offense has logged a superb 347 yards per game through the air overall and has 10 passing score so far. The Eagles have put up 267 pass yards per outing and have four total pass TDs.

Defensively, Minnesota has allowed 104 rush yards and 301 pass yards per game. The Philadelphia defense has allowed 290.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 63.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.38 to opposing QBs, while the Vikings have given up a 7.99 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Cousins is already up to 1,091 yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 91-of-134 attempts with nine scores through the air and only one interception. He has an 8.15 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.24 over the last two outings.

We expect Cousins to attack all areas of the Philadelphia secondary. Adam Thielen (140 receiving yards and two touchdowns), Stefon Diggs (294 yards, three TDs) and Kyle Rudolph (140 yards, one TD) have all been heavily involved recently, recording 31, 25 and 12 targets respectively over the past two games.

Carson Wentz has managed to complete 33-of-50 passes for 348 yards, two TDs and zero INTs for Philadelphia. His ANY/A stands at 6.57 for the year and 5.80 over his last two outings.

We expect the Philadelphia offense to mix it up in this one. Zach Ertz (254 receiving yards on the year), Wendell Smallwood (67 rush yards, 17 receiving yards) and Alshon Jeffery (105 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have all played key roles lately. The trio’s combined to account for 435 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns over the past two games.

These two franchises faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 38-7 victory for Philadelphia.

Free NFL Pick: Vikings vs. Eagles

SU Winner – Vikings, ATS Winner – Vikings, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

Minnesota was favored by 7 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 49. The over cashed and Minnesota did not cover in the 38-31 defeat to the Rams.

Minnesota has averaged 3.31707317073171 yards per carry across its past three games and 3.0 over its last two.

Philadelphia has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.7 over its last two.

The Philadelphia offense has lost five fumbles this season while Minnesota has let four get away.

In its last three matches, Minnesota is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Philadelphia was getting 3 points in its last outing and the Over/Under was 41. The over cashed and the spread pushed in that 26-23 loss to Tennessee.

In its last three games, Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Both teams have produced two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Vikings have have made four pass plays of 30+ yards while the Eagles have created six such plays.

The Minnesota defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Philadelphia has given up three such plays.

The Minnesota offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Philadelphia has created two such runs.

The Vikings defense has allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Eagles have given up two such runs.

Each team defense has tallied 11 sacks this season.

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Written by GMS Previews

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