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NCAA Football Free Betting Preview: Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Bears of Baylor (-7) are ready to host their conference nemesis Kansas Jayhawks at McLane Stadium. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and FS1 has the TV rights.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Baylor Bears Betting Preview

Kansas is a live dog here and is currently getting 7 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to wager $300 to win $100 back on the Bears (-300). The Jayhawks are getting +220 moneyline odds. There should be multiple good live betting opportunities during the game, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 59 points.

The early action has been swaying toward the Jayhawks. The line opened at -10 and the game’s O/U has yet to move after it was initially placed at 59.

The Jayhawks are 2-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.4 units this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1. The Bears have lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors in 2018. They’re 1-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-0.

The Jayhawks are 2-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any Big 12 competition yet. The Bears are 2-1 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play.

The Jayhawks are coming off a resounding 55-14 win over Rutgers last weekTheir defense allowed the Scarlet Knights to rush for 150 yards on 33 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Raheem Blackshear had a productive day for the Scarlet Knights in that one with 102 rushing yards on 19 attempts. Offensively, the Jayhawks completed 15-of-25 passes for 144 yards and one touchdown. Peyton Bender went eight-for-12 for 73 yards while Miles Kendrick completed six-of-11 for 66 yards and one touchdown. Pooka Williams Jr. (158 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Jeremiah Booker (three receptions, 32 yards, one TD) and Kerr Johnson Jr. (three catches, 25 yards) handled the receiving duties.

A week ago, Duke took care of this Baylor team by a score of 40-27. The Bears defensive unit let the Blue Devils kill the clock by rushing for 225 yards on 44 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Johnathan Lloyd put up a good outing for Duke, recording 93 yards on four catches. As a group, the Bears collectively completed 24-of-42 passes for 270 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Charlie Brewer went 14-for-26 for 175 yards while Jalan McClendon was 10-of-16 for 95 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jalan McClendon (51 rushing yards on 10 attempts) led the ground game in the defeat as Jalen Hurd (six receptions, 57 yards) and JaMycal Hasty (four catches, 10 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Kansas has run the ball on 58.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Baylor has an overall rush percentage of 47.1 percent. The Jayhawks have rushed for 224 yards/game and have six scores via handoffs this year. The Bears are averaging 172 rushing yards per game and have eight total rush TDs.

If 2018 results can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Jayhawks ought to hold an advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game, since their running backs has logged 5.4 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Bears have tallied 5.2 yards per carry and given up 5.6 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Jayhawks offensive scheme has averaged 163 yards in the air overall and has four passing scores so far. The Bears have put up 328 pass yards per outing and have six total pass TDs.

Defensively, Kansas appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 147 yards and pass for 148 yards per game. The Baylor defense has allowed 192.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 181.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jayhawks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 1.51 to opponents, while the Bears have given up a 5.36 ANY/A.

Offensively, Bender is up to 260 passing yards this season, and has completed 57 percent of his 47 attempts with two passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He’s got a 4.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.44 over the last two games.

Charlie Brewer has completed 22-of-41 passes for 313 yards, zero TDs and one INT for Baylor. His ANY/A stands at 6.17 for the year and 8.67 over his last two games.

These two squads met last year with the final outcome being a 38-9 victory for Baylor.

Free Pick: Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears

SU Winner – Kansas, ATS Winner – Kansas, O/U – Under

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Baylor defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks four times this season. Kansas has registered two sacks.

The Baylor offense has lost two fumbles this season while the Kansas offense has lost one.

The Jayhawks offense has created zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bears have accounted for two such plays.

The Kansas defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Baylor has given up two such plays.

The Kansas offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Baylor has created three such runs.

The Jayhawks defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bears have given up eight such runs.

Baylor was favored by 2 points in its previous match and the O/U going into it was 51. The over cashed and Baylor failed to cover in that 40-27 defeat to Duke.

Kansas was getting one point in its last game and the O/U going into it was 44.5. The over cashed and Kansas covered in the 55-14 triumph over Rutgers.

Kansas has averaged 6.6 yards per carry over its last two games.

Baylor has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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