NCAAF Picks : Although the Kansas State Wildcats are never picked to win the Big 12 championship they nearly always contend into the final weeks and that again is the case this season. The Wildcats are alone atop the Big 12 with their tried and true formula being the best fundamentals in football under head coach Bill Snyder. The large amount of roster turnover and lack of depth is beginning to wear down the Oklahoma State Cowboys.
The Wildcats will host the Cowboys at Bill Snyder Family Stadium on Saturday with coverage on ABC starting at 7 PM ET Kansas State opened as a 12.5 point favorite.
Underrated and Undervalued
Kansas State is 6-1 straight up, 5-2 against the spread, and 4-3 over the total after a 23-0 win over Texas. K State ranks 24th in the nation for scoring offense and 16th for scoring defense.
Pokes Fade
Oklahoma State is 5-3 SU, 3-5 ATS, and 4-4 on totals after an ugly 34-10 home loss to West Virginia. The Cowboys rank 75 nationally for total offense and 81st for total defense. The offense was rendered helpless in last week’s loss. The Cowboys lost a ton of top shelf offensive talent from last season and have not been able to plug the gaps.
Our Pick
Oklahoma State has slipped as a betting value on the road as the Pokes have paid out in just four out of their last 14 away games. Oklahoma State has gone over the total in six out of their last 11 away games.
K State has been a strong betting value at home with 14 payouts in their last 20 home games. The Wildcats have gone over the total in four out of their last seven home games.
Kansas State has controlled the cashier’s cage in this head to head series with eight payouts in their last 10 games against Oklahoma State. Six out of the last seven meetings between the Cowboys and Wildcats going over the total. K State has paid out in four out of their last five home games with Okie State with just one out of the last four meetings between the Wildcats and Pokes at K State going under the total. We like Kansas State and over the total.
