The Detroit Pistons (10-7) challenge the New York Knicks (7-14) at Little Caesars Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 27, 2018, and will air on MSG Network.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 220.5 points with Detroit opening as a 7-point favorite.
New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction
The last time the Knicks played, they defeated the Memphis Grizzlies, 103-98, as 8-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (201) came in under the O/U total of 204.5. The Knicks knocked down 27 of their 32 free throws (84.4 percent) and held the Grizzlies to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.5 (below the 26.1 mark opponents have averaged against New York this season). Enes Kanter played well for New York, putting up 21 points and 26 rebounds.
The Pistons defeated the Phoenix Suns in their last game, 118-107, covering as 8.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (225) finished over the projected point total of 221.5. Detroit’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Phoenix. The Pistons had a rate of 10.3 (better than their season average of 11.9), while the Suns posted a mark of 15.7. With 19 points, 16 rebounds and five steals, Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a solid outing.
After the Pistons won all three contests against the Knicks last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, Detroit won 115-109. The Pistons knocked down 17 of their 22 free throws (77.3 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (8.7 vs. 12.7).
New York has a respectable record against the spread (12-8-1), despite being 7-14 straight up (SU). Of the Knicks’ 21 games, 11 have finished over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Detroit is 10-7 SU and 10-7 ATS. Games featuring the Pistons have a tendency to go over the total (58.8 percent).
The offensive glass should be a huge edge for Detroit in this showdown. The Pistons rank fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (26.9 percent), while New York ranks 27th in defensive rebounding percentage (74.5 percent).
New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons Free Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
New York is 7-5 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 5 unders.
Detroit is 4-5 ATS at home with 5 overs and 4 unders.
When holding opponents below 100 points, New York is 2-0 and Detroit is 1-0.
The Pistons are 10-5 when they score above 100 points, while the Knicks are 7-11.
Detroit averages 16.1 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the league. New York ranks 26th in second chance points allowed per game (15.6).
The Pistons rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (34.9) while the Knicks rank 23rd (28.9).
Detroit ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while New York ranks 18th (17.5).
The Pistons rank 15th in blocks allowed per game (5.1) while the Knicks rank last (7.0).
Detroit averages 49.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks 10th in the league. New York ranks 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.3).
The Pistons rank 7 in rebounds per game (47.411764705882355) while the Knicks rank 21 in rebounds allowed per game (46.095238095238095).
Detroit ranks 11 in assists allowed per game (23.235294117647058) while New York ranks 25 (25.047619047619047).
The Knicks rank 21 in fast break points per game (11.238095238095237) while the Pistons rank 25 (10.529411764705882).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, New York is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Detroit is 5-0 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Knicks have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. On the season, New York has been defeated by an average of 4.9 points.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 115.4 points per game (3.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.0 points per game (0.9 below their season average).
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