New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Odds
Arizona (-135) is favored over New York (+125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -170 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +150 for the Diamondbacks -1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 28-36 SU this year and are 28-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.5 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 37-30 SU and 35-31 ATS. The team has gained 9.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread in each of its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Diamondbacks games have had an over/under record of 32-32-2 so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 26-35-1.
Steven Matz will get the start for New York. The left-handed Matz is 2-4 with a 3.53 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA against Arizona this year.
The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Matt Koch (4-3, 4.20 ERA) to the mound. Koch has 33 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Koch hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not pitch in the majors last season.
As a unit, Arizona’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 4.12 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.50, a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 7.9.
The Arizona hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 7.1 per game over its last 10 games and 9.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .288/.391/.492 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Diamondbacks’ batters have been led by left fielder David Peralta and first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Peralta is hitting .274/.335/.485 with 12 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, and Goldschmidt’s line is .258/.369/.500 with 12 homers, 31 RBIs and 45 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.77 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.46 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.53, along with a WHIP of 1.27 and a K-per-9 of 8.94.
The Mets offense has slashed .226/.306/.369 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 1.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 1.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .277/.317/.488 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Rosario (.237/.267/.343) has produced three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 5.8 units and are 20-25 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 10.2 units and are 14-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 12 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under.
New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
New York has recorded nine extra-base hits over its last five outings. Arizona has 18 XBH over its last five.
The Mets have dropped 10 of their last 11 games SU.
New York has recorded 10.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 9.6 over its last five.
The Mets have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
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