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New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview 09/04/18

Week 9 Fantasy Bats to Target
Dale Zanine - USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets will be taking on the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will be showing this NL matchup.

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (+185) as the underdog to Los Angeles (-200). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at -130 for over 8.5 runs and +110 for under 8.5. The game’s current runline odds sit at -120 for picking the Mets +1.5 runs and +100 for the Dodgers -1.5.

The Mets have gone 62-75 SU this year and are 65-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 75-63 SU and 59-78 ATS. The team’s lost 22.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.3 units ATS. Los Angeles has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 64-68-5 in 2018. The Mets have been a decent under bet with a total record of 59-69-7.

The southpaw Jason Vargas is the probable starter for the visiting Mets. Vargas is 5-8 with a 6.56 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Dodgers will put the ball in the left hand of Rich Hill (6-5, 3.59 ERA), who has 113 strikeouts and 36 walks this season as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Hill is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.74 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.96, along with a K/9 of 8.34.

The Mets offense has slashed .235/.314/.387 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

New York’s offense has been sparked by shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. The speedy Rosario is slashing .253/.292/.376 with seven home runs, 43 RBIs, 61 runs and 18 stolen bases, while Cabrera has a .277 average with 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

For the home team, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.14 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

Los Angeles’ hitters have produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 2.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .209/.280/.359 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Dodgers’ batters have been led by first baseman Cody Bellinger and left fielder Matt Kemp. Bellinger is slashing .259/.338/.466 with 21 home runs, 63 RBIs and 74 runs scored, and Kemp’s line is .283/.336/.475 with 19 homers, 74 RBIs and 56 runs.

The Mets have lost 8.1 units and are 17-20 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 4.3 units and are 25-28 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.

New York Mets at Los Angeles Dodgers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.

Los Angeles has recorded 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.2 over its last five.

The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 16 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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