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New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins Betting Preview 09/10/18

Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees are traveling west to Target Field to square off against the Minnesota Twins. This AL showdown will get going at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports North.

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Odds

New York (-150) is entering this game as the favorite over Minnesota (+140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at nine runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (-105) and Twins +1.5 runs (-115).

The Yankees have gone 89-54 SU this year and are 71-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.5 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Twins, on the other hand, are 65-77 SU and 71-70 ATS. The team has lost 15.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.0 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Twins games have a 68-70-3 over/under record in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent under bet with a total record of 63-72-7.

Left-hander J.A. Happ is getting the start for New York. Happ is 15-6 with a 3.90 ERA and 170 strikeouts. He has yet to face Minnesota this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 5.84 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

The Twins will turn to righty Kyle Gibson (7-12, 3.74 ERA), who has 158 strikeouts and 69 walks as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Gibson is 0-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.12 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.21 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.15, along with a K/9 of 11.41.

Yankees hitters have slashed .249/.330/.448 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton, who collectively have launched 56 home runs. Andujar is slashing .299/.333/.523 with 23 home runs, 77 RBIs and 74 runs scored, while Stanton has a .266 average with 33 homers, 85 RBIs and 88 runs scored.

For the home team, Minnesota’s pitching staff has yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.65 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.55 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Minnesota offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .197/.284/.299 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer have led the Twins’ batters this year. Rosario is slashing .289/.326/.482 with 23 home runs, 75 RBIs and 85 runs scored, while Mauer’s line is .272/.343/.369 with five homers, 39 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

The Yankees have lost 8.8 units and are 53-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 46 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have lost 7.2 units and are 20-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Yankees, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.

Minnesota has posted 18.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 15.8 over its last five.

The Yankees have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 11 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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