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New York Yankees at Washington Nationals Betting Preview 05/15/18

Gregory J. Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees are making a road trip to Nationals Park to face the Washington Nationals. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to showcase this interleague showdown and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals Odds

Oddsmakers are listing New York (-115) as the favorite over Washington (+105). Bettors are able to gamble on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Yankees -1.5 runs (+130) and Nationals 1.5 runs (-150).

The Nationals are 24-18 SU and 22-20 ATS. They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline bettors while earning 2.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Yankees are 28-12 SU and have gone 22-18 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 9.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline through the early portions of the year and 3.8 units ATS.

Nationals games have an over/under record of 18-22-2 so far in 2018. The Yankees have been a decent over bet with a total record of 23-16-1.

Right-hander Masahiro Tanaka will get the start for New York. Tanaka is 4-2 with a 4.66 ERA and 45 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals are turning to lefty Gio Gonzalez (4-2, 2.22 ERA), who has 50 punchouts and 19 walks as well as a 1.34 WHIP. Gonzalez did not record a start against the Yankees in 2017.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.59 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.53, along with a K-per-9 of 12.77.

The Yankees offense has slashed .251/.343/.444 on its way to 5.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Aaron Judge and shortstop Didi Gregorius have led New York’s hitters. Judge is slashing .311/.440/.601 with 11 home runs, 35 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Gregorius is hitting .260 with 10 homers, 31 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

Judge didn’t do especially well against lefty pitching on the road in 2017. Over 77 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .175/.390/.456 (compared to his total season line of .284/.422/.627).

For the home team, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 2.91, a WHIP of 1.04 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.1. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The Washington offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .231/.289/.410 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Bryce Harper and Matt Adams have led the Nationals’ hitters this year. Harper is hitting .236/.400/.543 with 13 home runs, 30 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Adams has produced a line of .274/.389/.642 with 10 homers, 25 RBIs and 18 runs.

The Yankees have gained 4.5 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in five of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Nationals have netted 7.1 units and are 16-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.

New York Yankees at Washington Nationals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has cashed in five of Washington’s last seven games.

The Nationals have won seven of their last eight games SU.

Washington has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.8 over its last five.

The Yankees have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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