nfl season win totals
Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Betting: Season Win Totals Betting, Odds, Strategies

Perhaps as a sports bettor, you’re not quite sure which team will win Super Bowl 53, and you might not know exactly whether the Minnesota Vikings will cover the 4.5-point spread against the San Francisco 49ers on opening weekend of the NFL season. But you might have a good feel for how good a specific team will be.

If so, season win totals might be the betting arena for you.

Convinced the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ woeful performance last year was an anomaly? Perhaps betting over 6.5 wins for the Bucs this season is the right move. Or maybe, given this year’s first-place schedule, the out-of-nowhere Jacksonville Jaguars can’t get to the total of 9. Either way, season win totals are a popular way for bettors to predict what will happen throughout the season with a larger margin for error than individual game lines.

This page includes an in-depth look at what season totals are, what you should consider before betting them and finally, a list of this year’s NFL season win totals and our pick for all 32 teams.

What season win totals are

In most futures wagers, bettors are trying to predict the winner of a division title or league championship. But another popular type of futures bets is the win total, in which bettors take a number provided by the house and predict whether the given team will win more or less than (over or under) that number.

The bet is decided in similar fashion to an individual game total. If the total includes a half-number, such as 7.5 or 9.5, then there is a clear winner. So if a team with a total of 7.5 wins 8 games, the over wins. If a team with a total of 9.5 wins 9 games, the under wins.

When the line is a whole number, the possibility of a push exists. For instance, if a team’s season win total is 10 and it goes exactly 10-6, then the bet is a push. That means the original bet is returned but with no additional winnings.

Usually, the house takes a slightly higher rake in win total bets. Instead of a 10 percent rake (each side is -110) on a single-game bet, the line might be -115 or -120 to each side. This is because bettors generally have a higher margin for error with a full-season bet than with a single-game or futures bet.

Strategies for betting season win totals

There are many factors to consider when betting NFL season win totals. Start with how many games a team won the previous year. Then decide how it might change. Bettors should be sure to dissect how much talent a team loses, returns and adds from the previous season. They should also be aware of any coaching changes or other factors, such as an offseason injury or contract dispute with a key player, that could change the way a team plays.

One often-overlooked factor is a team’s strength of schedule. In the NFL especially, the schedule can make or break a team’s season — and the over or under on its win total. Each team in a given division plays the same schedule, except for two games. In those two games, the defending division champions plays first-place teams from two other divisions. Last year’s second-place teams play second-place teams, third-place teams play third-place teams, etc. That means that a defending division champion might have a tougher time matching or surpassing last year’s win total than a last-place team, which should have an easier slate.

And then, as in any sports betting venture, a certain amount luck is involved. Injuries during the season, especially to a key player such as a quarterback, can waylay any team’s season. Of course, if you bet the under, that might be a good thing.

However, there is a larger margin for error with season win totals, because good and bad luck tends to even out more over the course of a season than in a single game. That makes season win totals a good place to look for value — if you’re willing to let a sportsbook hold your money for the course of an entire season.

NFL Season Win Totals – 2018

Atlanta Falcons Regular Season Wins

Over 9 Wins -125

Under 9 Wins -105

 

Philadelphia Eagles Regular Season Wins

Over 10 Wins -132

Under 10 Wins +102

 

Tennessee Titans Regular Season Wins

Over 8 Wins -120

Under 8 Wins -110

 

Arizona Cardinals Regular Season Wins

Over 5½ Wins -150

Under 5½ Wins +115

 

Baltimore Ravens Regular Season Wins

Over 8 Wins -125

Under 8 Wins -105

 

Buffalo Bills Regular Season Wins

Over 6 Wins +112

Under 6 Wins -143

 

Carolina Panthers Regular Season Wins

Over 9 Wins +110

Under 9 Wins -145

 

Chicago Bears Regular Season Wins

Over 6½ Wins -150

Under 6½ Wins +115

 

Cincinnati Bengals Regular Season Wins

Over 6½ Wins -145

Under 6½ Wins +110

 

Cleveland Browns Regular Season Wins

Over 5½ Wins -160

Under 5½ Wins +125

 

Dallas Cowboys Regular Season Wins

Over 8½ Wins +105

Under 8½ Wins -135

 

Denver Broncos Regular Season Wins

Over 7 Wins -150

Under 7 Wins +115

 

Green Bay Packers Regular Season Wins

Over 10 Wins +125

Under 10 Wins -160

 

Houston Texans Regular Season Wins

Over 8½ Wins -160

Under 8½ Wins +125

 

Indianapolis Colts Regular Season Wins

Over 6½ Wins -130

Under 6½ Wins +100

 

Jacksonville Jaguars Regular Season Wins

Over 9 Wins -145

Under 9 Wins +110

 

Kansas City Chiefs Regular Season Wins

Over 8 Wins -150

Under 8 Wins +115

 

Los Angeles Chargers Regular Season Wins

Over 9 Wins -160

Under 9 Wins +125

 

Miami Dolphins Regular Season Wins

Over 6½ Wins -120

Under 6½ Wins -110

 

Minnesota Vikings Regular Season Wins

Over 10 Wins -120

Under 10 Wins -110

 

New England Patriots Regular Season Wins

Over 11 Wins -135

Under 11 Wins +105

 

New Orleans Saints Regular Season Wins

Over 9 Wins -180

Under 9 Wins +135

 

New York Giants Regular Season Wins

Over 7 Wins -115

Under 7 Wins -115

 

Pittsburgh Steelers Regular Season Wins

Over 10 Wins -150

Under 10 Wins +115

 

San Francisco 49ers Regular Season Wins

Over 8½ Wins -120

Under 8½ Wins -110

 

Seattle Seahawks Regular Season Wins

Over 8 Wins +115

Under 8 Wins -150

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Regular Season Wins

Over 6½ Wins +115

Under 6½ Wins -150

 

Washington Redskins Regular Season Wins

Over 7 Wins +110

Under 7 Wins -145

 

Detroit Lions Regular Season Wins

Over 8 Wins +125

Under 8 Wins -160

 

Los Angeles Rams Regular Season Wins

Over 9½ Wins -160

Under 9½ Wins +125

 

New York Jets Regular Season Wins

Over 6 Wins +105

Under 6 Wins -135

 

Oakland Raiders Regular Season Wins

Over 8 Wins -135

Under 8 Wins +105

Summary
NFL Betting: Season Win Totals Betting, Odds, Strategies
Article Name
NFL Betting: Season Win Totals Betting, Odds, Strategies
Description
Guide to understand how to bet the NFL season win totals, including 2018 odds for each NFL team, strategy and betting guidance.
Author
GetMoreSports.com
GetMoreSports.com

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