The North Texas Mean Green are heavy underdogs to the Utah State Aggies in the New Mexico Bowl. Kickoff for this crucialmatchup is scheduled for 2:00 p.m. ET and ESPN will broadcast the action.
North Texas Mean Green vs. Utah State Aggies Betting Preview
In this Saturday game, Utah State is getting picked as the big favorite and is currently giving up 9 points. The Mean Green are also receiving +280 moneyline odds while the Aggies are -360. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 67.5 points, and should one school can catch a lucky break early, it’ll probably create a reasonable betting opportunity in-game.
The line initially opened at -10 and the O/U was originally 64.5, so early action appears to be been slanting toward both the Mean Green and the over.
The underwhelming Mean Green are down 8.0 units so far and 4-8 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 1-11. The Aggies have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 4.0 units. They’re 9-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 8-3-1.
The Mean Green have gone 9-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Aggies are 10-2 SU.
The Mean Green just pulled off a 24-21 win over UTSA on November 24. Mason Fine completed 26-of-36 passes for 320 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. DeAndre Torrey (155 yards on 24 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground attack while Jalen Guyton (five receptions, 78 yards) and Michael Lawrence (three catches, 69 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Utah State just lost a 33-24 game to Boise State. Jordan Love completed 29-of-47 passes for 363 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Darwin Thompson (61 rushing yards on 11 attempts) handled the running game while Jalen Greene (eight receptions, 47 yards, one TD) and Aaren Vaughns (seven catches, 107 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
North Texas has run the ball on 47.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Utah State has a rush percentage of 51.0 percent. The Mean Green have rushed for 157 yards per game and have 24 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Aggies are logging 204 rush yards per game and have 34 total rushing TDs.
The Mean Green offensive scheme has averaged 316 yards through the air overall and has 27 passing TDs so far. The Aggies have put up 289 pass yards per outing and have 28 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, North Texas has allowed 113 rush yards and 246 pass yards per game. The Utah State defense has allowed 240.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 145.1 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Mean Green have given up an ANY/A of 4.85 to opposing QBs, while the Aggies are allowing an ANY/A of 4.87.
Offensively, Fine has already amassed 3,439 passing yards this year. He’s completed 273-of-424 attempts with 25 scores through the air and only three interceptions. Fine’s got an 8.20 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.18 over the last two games.
In the home locker room, Jordan Love has managed to complete 231-of-350 passes for 3,039 yards, 27 TDs and five INTs. Love’s ANY/A stands at 9.21 for the year and 7.78 over his last two outings.
Free NCAA Betting Tip: North Texas Mean Green vs. Utah State Aggies
SU Winner – Utah State, ATS Winner – Utah State, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Notes
North Texas has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.8 over its last two.
Utah State has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and only 4.3 over its last two.
The Utah State offense has lost 12 fumbles this season while North Texas has lost eight.
The Mean Green offense has registered 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Aggies have put up 10 such plays.
The North Texas defense has allowed 14 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Utah State has given up 11 such plays.
The North Texas offense has created 16 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Utah State has created 28 such runs.
The Mean Green defense has allowed 17 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Aggies have given up 13 such runs.
The North Texas D has sacked opposing QBs 33 times this year. Utah State has produced 30 sacks.
+++++
