in

Oakland Raiders vs. Arizona Cardinals: Week 11 Betting Pick

James Lang-USA TODAY Sports

The Oakland Raiders (+4) are heading east to face the Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on CBS and this late afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Oakland Raiders vs. Arizona Cardinals Betting Preview

In this Sunday game, Arizona has been tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 4 points. The Raiders are also receiving +150 moneyline odds while the Cardinals are -170. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 40.5 points, and if one squad can create a bunch of points early on, it would probably result in a nice betting opportunity in-game.

The opening line was initially -3 and the total was originally set at 41, so it appears that sharp bettors have been siding with the Cards.

The disappointing Raiders are 2-7 against the spread (ATS) and are down 7.2 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U mark of 3-6. The Cardinals have lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-4 ATS and also have an O/U record of 3-6.

The Raiders are 1-8 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Cardinals are 2-7 SU.

The Raiders dropped one to the Chargers 20-6 in a Week 10 game where Derek Carr completed 24 passes for 243 yards. Doug Martin (61 yards on 15 rushes) led the ground attack while Richard (five receptions, 52 yards) and Jared Cook (four catches, 52 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Arizona just dropped a 26-14 game to Kansas City in Week 10. Josh Rosen completed 22-of-39 passes for 208 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. David Johnson had a monster statline in the loss. In addition to 98 rushing yards on 21 attempts (and one TD), Johnson also reeled in seven catches for 85 yards and a score.

When glancing at offensive play-calling, each of these teams sports a remarkably similar (61-39 pass-to-run ratio on the season. The Raiders have produced 97 rush yards/game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cards are totaling 70 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.

If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then the Cards ought to have an advantage when it comes to applying pressure, since their offensive line has allowed only 27 sacks while the D-line has logged 29 sacks. The Raiders offensive line has given up 29 sacks and their defense has created only eight sacks.

The Raiders offense has tallied 272 yards per contest in the air overall and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Cards have recorded 187 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass scores.

Oakland has allowed opponents to run for an average of 141 yards and pass for 264 yards per game. The Arizona defense has allowed 245.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 140.3 yards per game on the ground. The Cards are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.16 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have given up a whopping 9.33 ANY/A.

Offensively, Carr has amassed 2,270 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has completed 71 percent of his 298 attempts with 10 scores through the air and eight interceptions. He has a 6.18 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.96 over the last two outings.

The Raiders have tried to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Jared Cook (526 yards, three TDs) has been a factor in the receiving game lately, but backfield mates Doug Martin (232 rush yards, 53 receiving yards) and Jalen Richard (53 rush yards, 355 receiving yards) have really been focal points in the Oakland offensive scheme.

Josh Rosen has completed 93-of-168 passes for 1,028 yards, four TDs and seven INTs for Arizona. His ANY/A stands at a very poor 3.53 for the season and 3.72 over his last two outings.

The Cards should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to David Johnson (251 receiving yards, two receiving TDs), Larry Fitzgerald (305 receiving yards and one receiving TD) and Ricky Seals-Jones (255 receiving yards and one TD) have seen a lot of action recently.

RELATED: Week 11 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

NFL Prediction: Raiders at Cardinals

SU Winner – Raiders, ATS Winner – Raiders, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Trends

Oakland has averaged 5.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.8 over its last two.

Arizona has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.0 over its last two.

Arizona has lost seven fumbles this season while Oakland has let five get away.

The Raiders offense has registered four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Cardinals have accounted for two such plays.

The Oakland defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Arizona has given up four such plays.

The Oakland offense has created three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Arizona has created one such runs.

The Raiders defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cardinals have given up 11 such runs.

The Arizona defense has created 29 sacks on the year while Oakland has just eight.

*****

Written by GMS Previews

Chiefs vs. Rams Moved from Mexico Due to Field; Game’s NFL Betting Odds also on the Move

Ben Roethlisberger

Week 11 Free Betting Preview – Pittsburgh Steelers at Jacksonville Jaguars