The Philadelphia Phillies will be squaring off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. This NL matchup starts at 1:35 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on ATPT and NSPA.
Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
The Phillies are 49-37 SU and are 38-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 11.7 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 16.3 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 40-48 SU and 39-48 ATS. They’ve lost 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.2 units ATS. Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone over in six of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 43-37-7 so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 38-43-4.
Right-hander Drew Anderson is the projected starter for the visiting Phillies. Anderson has yet to pitch in the majors this season.
The Pirates will turn to righty Nick Kingham (2-4, 4.70 ERA), who has 37 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Kingham did not pitch in the majors last season.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.76 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.11 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.09, along with a K-per-9 of 9.61.
Phillies hitters have slashed .237/.324/.397 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez continue to lead Philadelphia’s hitters. Herrera is slashing .280/.333/.470 with 15 home runs, 51 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Hernandez (.267/.378/.383) has produced eight homers, 28 RBIs, 61 runs and 13 stolen bases.
For the home team, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.54 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Pittsburgh offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .249/.286/.382 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led the Pirates’ hitters this year. Dickerson is slashing .308/.342/.461 with six home runs, 34 RBIs and 35 runs scored, and Marte’s line is .275/.326/.456 with 10 homers, 38 RBIs, 46 runs and 21 steals.
The Phillies have gained 10.6 units and are 29-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 1.5 units and are 30-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 28 of those games, compared to 29 that went under the total.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Philadelphia has recorded 16 extra-base hits over its last five games. Pittsburgh has 14 XBH over its last five.
The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Pirates have lost six of their last seven.
Pittsburgh has posted 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit nine over their last 10.
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