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St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants Free Pick 07/08/18

Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants are playing host to the St. Louis Cardinals at AT&T Park. Fox Sports Midwest will showcase this NL showdown and the game gets underway at 4:05 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (-140) is favored over St. Louis (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this day game at 7.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Cardinals +1.5 runs (-170) and Giants -1.5 runs (+150).

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The Cardinals are 46-42 SU and have gone 44-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 46-45 SU and 49-41 ATS. They’ve gained 8.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS. San Francisco has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

San Francisco games have had an over/under record of 43-45-2 so far in 2018. St. Louis has been a decent under bet with a total record of 37-46-4.

Jack Flaherty will get the start for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Flaherty is 3-4 with a 3.19 ERA and 80 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 11.25 ERA and six strikeouts across four innings).

The Giants are sending lefty Madison Bumgarner (1-3, 2.58 ERA) to the mound. Bumgarner has 30 strikeouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a 1.12 WHIP. Bumgarner only made one start against the Cardinals in 2017 (0-1, 7.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.28 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.72 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.5 K/9.

San Francisco’s hitters have produced 4.0 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 1.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .168/.213/.219 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen have led the Giants’ offense this year. Crawford is slashing .300/.365/.482 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 39 runs scored, and McCutchen is hitting .258 with nine homers, 38 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.46 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.02 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.02, along with a K/9 of 8.61.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .244/.317/.400 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

St. Louis’ hitters have been led by left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez, who’ve collectively blasted 23 home runs. Ozuna is hitting .275/.317/.401 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Martinez is slashing .291/.356/.478 with 13 homers, 52 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 3.0 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 6.3 units and are 31-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 29 which went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in just two of St. Louis’ last seven games.

The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

The St. Louis defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for San Francisco over its last 10.

The Cardinals have won three of their last four games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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