The Philadelphia Phillies will be facing off against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. The game gets going at 4:05 p.m. ET and this NL matchup will be televised on ATPT and NSPA.
Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (-130) is favored over Philadelphia (+120) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -175 for the Phillies +1.5 runs and +155 for the Pirates -1.5 runs.
The Pirates are 40-47 straight up (SU) and 39-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.7 units (ATS). The Phillies, on the other hand, have gone 48-37 SU this year and are 37-47 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 10.7 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 17.6 units ATS.
Pittsburgh games have an over/under record of 42-37-7 so far in 2018. Phillies games have gone under 43 times, gone over 37 times and pushed on four occasions.
Jake Arrieta is getting the nod for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Arrieta is 5-6 with a 3.54 ERA and 61 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.
The Pirates are putting the ball in the right hand of Jameson Taillon (5-6, 4.05 ERA), who has 87 strikeouts and 28 walks as well as a 1.26 WHIP. Taillon is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 27.00 ERA in one start against Philadelphia this year.
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.50, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
The Pittsburgh hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .253/.297/.425 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Pirates’ hitters have been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .309/.343/.460 with six home runs, 34 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .269/.320/.442 with nine homers, 37 RBIs, 44 runs and 21 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 3.78 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.09 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.12, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K/9 of 9.55.
Phillies hitters have slashed .236/.324/.398 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Philadelphia’s offense has been sparked by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez, who have combined to blast 23 home runs. Herrera is slashing .277/.331/.470 with 15 home runs, 51 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Hernandez (.268/.379/.385) is up to eight homers, 28 RBIs, 61 runs and 13 stolen bases.
The Phillies have gained 9.6 units and are 28-35 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 27 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.5 units and are 30-33 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 27 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Phillies, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in five of Pittsburgh’s last seven games.
The Phillies have won seven of their last eight games SU while the Pirates have dropped five of their last six.
Philadelphia has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 10 over their last 10.
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