The New York Mets are facing off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Citi Field. This interleague matchup will get going at 4:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will broadcast the game.
Tampa Bay Rays at New York Mets Odds
Tampa Bay (-115) is favored over New York (+105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 7 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -115 for the under and -105 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Rays -1.5 runs (+130) and Mets +1.5 runs (-150).
The Mets are 35-49 straight up (SU) and 34-48 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 17.6 units for moneyline bettors and 20.6 units (ATS). The Rays are 43-44 SU and have gone 50-36 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 6.4 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.8 units ATS.
Mets games have an over/under record of 35-43-4 so far in 2018. Tampa Bay has also been a good under bet with a total record of 35-48-3.
Southpaw Blake Snell is the probable starter for Tampa Bay. Snell is 11-4 with a 2.24 ERA and 123 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mets this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mets will turn to lefty Steven Matz (4-5, 3.46 ERA), who has 76 strikeouts and 32 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Matz did not record a start against the Rays in 2017.
New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.6 K/9.
New York’s hitters have put up 4.0 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .215/.312/.417 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Asdrubal Cabrera has helped lead the Mets’ offense this season with 15 home runs, 49 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
For the visitors, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.74 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.66 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.48, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K-per-9 of 8.06.
Rays hitters have slashed .249/.323/.381 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Matt Duffy has led Tampa Bay’s hitters and is slashing .310/.356/.413 with four home runs, 25 RBIs and 26 runs scored.
The Mets are coming off a 5-1 win in the prior game of this series.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Mets MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in just one of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
The Rays have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.
Tampa Bay has recorded 19.7 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
The Rays have dropped three of their last four games SU.
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