The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. This NL showdown begins at 10:05 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both NSP+ and NSBA.
Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants Odds
Vegas has listed San Francisco (+100) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-110). The total is sitting at 8 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -115 and the under for -105. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +135 for the Phillies -1.5 runs and -155 for the Giants +1.5.
The Phillies are 31-24 SU and are 26-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 7.0 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having lost 4.1 units ATS. The Giants, on the other hand, are 27-30 SU and 32-24 ATS. They’ve gained 0.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.6 units ATS.
San Francisco games have a 29-25-2 over/under record so far in 2018. Philadelphia has an over/under record of 24-26-4.
Vince Velasquez will get the start for the visiting Phillies. The right-handed Velasquez is 4-5 with a 4.08 ERA and 70 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against San Francisco this year.
The Giants are turning to lefty Andrew Suarez (1-4, 5.65 ERA), who’s got 37 strikeouts and eight walks as well as a WHIP of 1.36. Suarez has yet to face the Phillies this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
Philadelphia’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 3.36 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.56, along with a WHIP of 1.19.
The Phillies offense has slashed .236/.320/.390 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Philadelphia’s hitters have been powered by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .312/.375/.485 with seven home runs, 32 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Hernandez (.269/.381/.423) is up to seven homers, 21 RBIs, 38 runs and 10 stolen bases.
Hernandez didn’t do especially well against left-handed pitching on the road last season. Over 91 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .222/.308/.358 (compared to his total season line of .296/.376/.425).
In the home-team dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.76, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 4.21 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.
San Francisco’s offense is putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .293/.363/.425 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Brandon Crawford and first baseman Brandon Belt have paced the Giants’ batters this year. Crawford is slashing .311/.352/.474 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 24 runs scored, and Belt’s line sits at .307/.403/.547 with 11 homers, 31 RBIs and 32 runs scored.
The Phillies have gained 5.3 units and are 8-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to eight that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have lost 7.0 units and are 17-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 15 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
San Francisco has posted 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.8 over its last five.
The Phillies have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 10 over their last 10.
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