The Phoenix Suns (3-13) will try to end their seven-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Chicago Bulls (4-13) at United Center. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports Chicago.
Chicago is a 2-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 212.5 points.
Phoenix Suns at Chicago Bulls Free Prediction
Although the Suns were topped by the Philadelphia 76ers in their last contest, 119-114, they did cover as 11-point underdogs. The game’s total points (233) were over the O/U total of 219.5. Philadelphia won the rebounding battle. The 76ers had 13 offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Suns had five and 31, respectively. Devin Booker was the game’s leading scorer with 37 points on 13-for-28 shooting.
In the Bulls’ last matchup, they got blown out by the Toronto Raptors, 122-83. They failed to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (205) were under the projected point total of 214.5. Toronto’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over Chicago. The Raptors had a rate of 22.9 (below their season average of 24.7), while the Bulls posted a mark of 13.2 (below the 24.6 mark opponents have averaged against Toronto this season). With 12 points and six rebounds, Chicago’s Jabari Parker put together a solid performance.
After the Suns won both meetings against the Bulls last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent contest, Phoenix won 104-99. The Suns knocked down 17 of their 23 free throws (73.9 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.9 vs. 17.0).
Phoenix comes into the game with records of 3-13 straight up (SU) and 7-9 against the spread (ATS). Suns matchups have typically finished under the total (56.3 percent).
Meanwhile, Chicago owns records of 4-13 SU and 8-9 ATS. Bulls games also tend to go under the total (64.7 percent).
T.J. Warren has averaged 25 points,5.4 rebounds,1.6 steals,1.2 blocks over the last five games for Phoenix.
Getting to the line might be scarce for Phoenix in this matchup. The Suns rank 21st in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.192, while Chicago ranks eighth in FTA rate allowed (0.188).
Phoenix Suns vs. Chicago Bulls Free Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Suns, ATS Winner – Suns, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Phoenix is 2-5 ATS with 4 overs and 3 unders.
At home, Chicago is 5-4 ATS with 7 unders and 2 overs.
Chicago is 2-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Phoenix is 1-0.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Suns are 3-7 and the Bulls are 2-8.
Phoenix ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while Chicago ranks 26th (34.8).
The Bulls rank ninth in points allowed in the paint per game (46.1) while the Suns rank 29th (53.9).
Chicago averages 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. Phoenix ranks last in steals allowed per game (10.1).
The Suns rank 10th in blocks allowed per game (4.9) while the Bulls rank 27th (7.0).
Chicago ranks 15th in fast break points allowed per game (14.0) while Phoenix ranks 29th (18.4).
The Suns rank 16 in rebounds allowed per game (45.3125) while the Bulls rank 29 (50).
Phoenix averages 23.75 assists per game, which ranks 13 in the NBA. Chicago ranks 23 in assists allowed per game (24.705882352941178).
The Bulls rank 23 in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.529411764705884) while the Suns rank 28 (21.5).
Phoenix ranks 28 in second chance points per game (9.625) while Chicago ranks 29 (9.470588235294118).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Chicago is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Suns’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.4, down from 10.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 93.2 points per game (9.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (2.1 below their season average).
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