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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview 07/20/18

Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds will play host to the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and the action will be shown on either ATPT or FSOH.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Pittsburgh (-110) as the favorite over Cincinnati (+100). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. Runline odds sit at +135 for betting the Pirates -1.5 runs and -155 for the Reds +1.5.

The Pirates are 48-49 SU and are 46-51 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.0 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 43-53 SU and 58-38 ATS. The team has lost 1.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 9.2 units ATS.

Cincinnati games have an over/under record of 51-41-4 so far in 2018. Pittsburgh has an over/under record of 46-44-7.

The right-handed Jameson Taillon will get the start for the visiting Bucs. Taillon is 6-7 with a 3.91 ERA and 103 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Cincinnati this year (two starts).

The Reds are handing the ball to righty Tyler Mahle (7-7, 4.02 ERA), who has 98 strikeouts and 43 walks to his name, as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Mahle is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.64 ERA in one start against Pittsburgh this year.

Cincinnati’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.44 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 45 games against divisional opponents, Reds starters have an ERA of 5.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.86.

Cincinnati’s hitters are putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .301/.396/.448 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Scooter Gennett has helped lead the Reds’ offense this year with 16 home runs, 63 RBIs and 59 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.32 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.33, along with a K/9 of 9.97.

The Pirates offense has slashed .250/.320/.406 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Corey Dickerson has led Pittsburgh’s hitters and is slashing .306/.340/.469 with seven home runs, 37 RBIs and 40 runs scored.

The Reds are coming off of a 6-4 loss against the Cardinals, while the Pirates just got a 7-6 victory over the Brewers.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in seven of Cincinnati’s last seven games.

The Pirates have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

The Pittsburgh defense has allowed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to eight errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.

The Pirates have won eight of their last nine games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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