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San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview 08/07/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The San Diego Padres will make a road trip to Miller Park to face the Milwaukee Brewers. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase this NL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Milwaukee (-190) is hosting this one as the favorite over San Diego (+180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Padres +1.5 runs (-125) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+105).

The Padres are 44-70 SU and are 53-61 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 27.1 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 65-50 SU and 60-55 ATS. They’ve gained 13.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.7 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 52-59-4 in 2018. San Diego has an over/under record of 53-56-5.

Left-hander Clayton Richard is getting the start for the visiting Padres. Richard (7-10, 4.99 ERA) has recorded 97 strikeouts in 137 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.29 ERA against Milwaukee this year.

The Brewers are turning to righty Chase Anderson (7-7, 3.65 ERA), who has 96 punchouts and 44 walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Anderson is 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against San Diego this year.

As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.88, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .240/.314/.469 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is slashing .326/.387/.542 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs, 78 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain’s line is .293/.389/.416 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 steals.

In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.08 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.55 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.53, along with a WHIP of 1.48.

The Padres offense has slashed .233/.298/.369 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

San Diego’s offense has been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is slashing .254/.322/.389 with 10 home runs, 46 RBIs and 49 runs scored. Galvis is hitting .237/.294/.346 with six homers, 42 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

The Padres have lost 5.1 units and are 40-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 34 of those games, as opposed to 41 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 1.1 units and are 12-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 17 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under.

San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

San Diego has logged 18 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 20 XBH over its last five.

Milwaukee has recorded 22.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.0 over its last five.

The Padres have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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