The struggling Miami Marlins will look to avoid losing their seventh straight game when they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at Marlins Park. This NL showdown will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Midwest to catch the game.
St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Odds
Miami (+145) is the home-team underdog against St. Louis (-155) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Cardinals -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).
The Marlins are 58-55 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 46-67 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 0.5 units for moneyline bettors while earning 10.1 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Cardinals have gone 58-54 SU this year and are 55-57 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 7.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.2 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Marlins games have a 58-53-2 over/under record in 2018. St. Louis has an over/under record of 53-55-4.
The right-handed Miles Mikolas will get the start for St. Louis. Mikolas is 11-3 with a 2.75 ERA and 97 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of Pablo Lopez (2-2, 4.67 ERA), who’s got 28 strikeouts and nine walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Lopez has yet to face the Cardinals this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have yielded 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.60 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.16 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.
Miami’s hitters have produced 3.8 runs per outing, including 2.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .212/.249/.345 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro have led the way for the Marlins’ hitters this year. Anderson is hitting .288/.369/.422 with nine home runs, 52 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Castro is batting .287 with eight homers, 40 RBIs and 63 runs.
For the visitors, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.54 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.16 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.40, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
Cardinals hitters have slashed .249/.323/.404 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Outfielder Marcell Ozuna and third baseman Matt Carpenter have led St. Louis’ offense. Ozuna is slashing .265/.310/.388 with 13 home runs, 59 RBIs and 44 runs scored. Carpenter (.282/.394/.593) has produced 29 homers, 60 RBIs and 74 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 2.7 units and are 40-43 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 42 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against righties.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
St. Louis has tallied 15 extra-base hits over its last five games. Miami has 10 XBH over its last five.
The Cardinals have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit seven over their last 10.
St. Louis has recorded 24 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29 over its last five.
The Cardinals have won four of their last five games SU.
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