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St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants Free Preview 07/05/18

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco Giants will try to avoid losing their fourth consecutive game as they play host to the St. Louis Cardinals at AT&T Park. This NL matchup will begin at 10:15 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Midwest will be televising the game.

St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants Odds

San Francisco (-125) is favored against St. Louis (+115) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -180 for the Cardinals +1.5 runs and +160 for the Giants -1.5.

The Cardinals have gone 44-41 SU this year and are 41-43 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.8 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Giants, on the other hand, are 45-43 SU and 48-39 ATS. They’ve gained 9.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units ATS. San Francisco has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

San Francisco games have an over/under record of 42-43-2 thus far in 2018. St. Louis has been a decent under bet with a total record of 35-45-4.

Luke Weaver will get the nod for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Weaver (4-7, 5.16 ERA) has recorded 82 punchouts in 89 innings so far. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and nine strikeouts over seven innings).

The Giants are sending righty Johnny Cueto (3-0, 0.84 ERA) to the mound. Cueto has 26 punchouts and six walks to his name, as well as a 0.69 WHIP. Cueto only made one start against the Cardinals in 2017 (0-0, 3.38 ERA and two strikeouts across five and 1-third innings).

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.24 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.67 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.4 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .246/.321/.363 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Giants’ hitters have been led by shortstop Brandon Crawford and right fielder Andrew McCutchen. Crawford is hitting .310/.373/.497 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 38 runs scored, and McCutchen is hitting .259 with nine homers, 37 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

In the other dugout, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.52 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.05, along with a WHIP of 1.25.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .243/.316/.398 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez continue to lead St. Louis’ offense. Ozuna is hitting .276/.320/.403 with 10 home runs, 44 RBIs and 33 runs scored. Martinez is slashing .294/.360/.485 with 13 homers, 52 RBIs and 35 runs scored.

The Cardinals have lost 4.0 units and are 31-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 24 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 6.5 units and are 31-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 23 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giants Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in four of St. Louis’ last seven outings.

The Cardinals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

St. Louis has recorded 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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