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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Betting Preview 07/05/18

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins are traveling north to face their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The matchup will begin at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (-180) is favored over Miami (+170) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-130 for the over and +110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Marlins +1.5 runs (-130) and Nationals -1.5 runs (+110).

The Nationals are 42-43 straight up (SU) and 40-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.9 units (ATS). On the other hand, the Marlins have gone 36-52 SU this year and are 46-41 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 0.3 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 4.3 units ATS.

Nationals games have had an over/under record of 33-49-2 so far in 2018. Miami has an over/under record of 44-41-2.

Pablo Lopez is the probable starter for the visiting Marlins. Lopez is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and five strikeouts. He has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Nationals will turn to righty Jeremy Hellickson (2-1, 2.63 ERA), who’s got 38 strikeouts and eight walks as well as a WHIP of 1.02. Hellickson made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 3.75 ERA and three strikeouts.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.72, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.5. The bullpen has a 3.77 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 29 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.15 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.54.

The Washington offense has put up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .238/.313/.359 over its last five matchups and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the charge for the Nationals’ hitters this year. Turner is slashing .275/.354/.406 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs, 48 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon’s line is .289/.352/.526 with 12 homers, 37 RBIs and 35 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Miami’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.62 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.63, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 8.31.

The Marlins offense has slashed .240/.308/.361 on its way to 3.7 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Miami’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .292/.340/.397 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 52 runs scored, while Anderson is hitting .281/.358/.399 with five homers, 41 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 0.0 units and are 30-32 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 31 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve hit the under against ies.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has cashed in five of Washington’s last seven games.

The Nationals have dropped eight of their last nine games SU.

Miami has posted 22.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.2 over its last five.

The Marlins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 14 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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