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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs Free Pick 07/21/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Cardinals are set to take on the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field in the 2 game of their NL Central doubleheader. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox and the game gets underway 7:15 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cardinals have gone 49-47 SU this year and are 46-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.9 units ATS. The Cubs, on the other hand, are 56-39 SU and 49-45 ATS. The team’s gained 3.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.8 units ATS.

Cubs games have an over/under record of 44-49-1 so far in 2018. St. Louis has an over/under record of 43-48-4.

John Gant is getting the nod for St. Louis. The right-handed Gant (3-3, 3.49 ERA) has recorded 43 strikeouts in 49 innings so far. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Cubs are putting the ball in the left hand of Mike Montgomery (3-3, 3.91 ERA), who has 48 strikeouts and 25 walks this season as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Montgomery is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against St. Louis this year.

As a unit, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 3.30 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 42 games against divisional foes, Cubs starters have an ERA of 3.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.08.

The Chicago offense is putting up 5.2 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .304/.391/.475 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Cubs’ offense has been led by Javier Baez, who is slashing .289/.323/.559 with 19 home runs, 72 RBIs, 62 runs and 18 steals.

For the visiting squad, St. Louis’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.50 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.57, along with a WHIP of 1.23 and a K-per-9 of 8.54.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .248/.321/.408 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Marcell Ozuna has provided a spark to the St. Louis offense. Ozuna is hitting .270/.312/.384 with 10 home runs, 51 RBIs and 39 runs scored.

The Cardinals just took the previous game in the series by a final score of 18 runs to five.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in only one of St. Louis’ last seven games.

The Cardinals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.

Chicago has recorded 25.8 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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