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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels Free Pick 09/26/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels will play host to their AL West nemesis Texas Rangers at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The game gets underway 10:07 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Southwest will televise the action.

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds

Texas (+165) is entering this game as the underdog to Los Angeles (-175) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Rangers +1.5 runs (-135) and Angels -1.5 runs (+115).

The Rangers have gone 66-91 SU this year and are 76-80 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.0 units for moneyline bettors and 9.8 units ATS. Texas is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, are 77-81 SU and 70-87 ATS. The team has lost 11.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven.

Angels games have an over/under record of 71-76-10 in 2018. Texas has an over/under record of 75-71-10.

Yohander Mendez will get the nod for the Rangers. The southpaw Mendez (2-2, 6.04 ERA) has racked up 15 strikeouts in 22.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Angels this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Angels are handing the ball to lefty Andrew Heaney (9-10, 4.21 ERA), who has 170 strikeouts and 44 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Heaney is 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 7.94 ERA over two starts against Texas this year.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.36 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 72 divisional games, Angels starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.52.

Los Angeles’ hitters have produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .179/.265/.364 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Angels’ offense has been led by shortstop Andrelton Simmons and outfielder Mike Trout. Simmons is hitting .296/.339/.423 with 11 home runs, 74 RBIs and 66 runs scored, and Trout is hitting .315 with 38 homers, 77 RBIs, 99 runs and 24 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Texas’ pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.42 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.29 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.30, along with a K-per-9 of 8.08.

The Rangers offense has slashed .240/.321/.406 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Texas’ offense has been powered by Shin-soo Choo and Jurickson Profar. Choo is hitting .263/.377/.433 with 21 home runs, 62 RBIs and 82 runs scored. Profar is hitting .252/.333/.457 with 19 homers, 76 RBIs and 81 runs scored.

The Rangers have lost 3.1 units and are 24-28 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have lost 13.1 units and are 20-29 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 28 that went under.

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

Texas has logged 12 extra-base hits over its last five games. Los Angeles has 15 XBH over its last five.

The Rangers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

Los Angeles has averaged 16.4 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 15.4 over its last five.

The Rangers have lost three of their last four games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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