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Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Free Pick 09/16/18

Athletics vs Yankees
Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium. The action will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to YES Network to catch the game.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Odds

New York (-210) is favored over Toronto (+190) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Runline odds sit at -115 for taking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -105 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.

The Yankees are 91-57 straight up (SU) and 73-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.2 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 66-82 SU this year and are 63-84 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 13.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 32.0 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 66-74-7 in 2018. Toronto has been a good over bet with a total record of 75-63-9.

Thomas Pannone will get the start for the Blue Jays. Pannone (2-1, 4.13 ERA) has racked up 15 strikeouts in 23 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are sending righty Lance Lynn (9-10, 5.01 ERA) to the mound. Lynn has 146 punchouts and 72 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.55. Lynn is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and an 11.00 ERA across two starts against Toronto this year.

New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.09, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 3.26 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 11.4 K/9. In 62 games against AL East opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.22.

The New York offense has produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .244/.380/.457 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton have led the Yankees’ batters this year. Andujar is hitting .299/.333/.522 with 24 home runs, 83 RBIs and 77 runs scored, while Stanton is batting .263 with 34 homers, 89 RBIs and 92 runs.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.25 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.60 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.44, along with a K/9 of 8.97.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .245/.316/.428 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

First baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar continue to lead Toronto’s hitters. Smoak is hitting .248/.355/.468 with 24 home runs, 75 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Pillar (.246/.276/.413) has produced 13 homers, 55 RBIs, 58 runs and 14 stolen bases.

The Blue Jays have gained 7.0 units and are 43-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 52 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against -handed starting pitchers.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven games.

The Blue Jays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 15 over their last 10.

Toronto has recorded 24.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.2 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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