The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at Miller Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will showcase the matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Pittsburgh (+150) is coming into this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-160) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -145 for the Pirates +1.5 runs and +125 for the Brewers -1.5 runs.
The Brewers are 85-64 straight up (SU) and 77-71 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 18.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.8 units (ATS). The Pirates have gone 73-74 SU this year and are 71-75 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 2.0 units for moneyline bettors and 11.9 units ATS.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 71-73-4 in 2018. Pittsburgh has been a decent under bet with a total record of 65-71-10.
Trevor Williams will get the start for Pittsburgh. The right-handed Williams is 12-9 with a 3.28 ERA and 108 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Milwaukee this year.
The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Jhoulys Chacin (14-7, 3.54 ERA), who has 145 strikeouts and 63 walks this season as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Chacin is 0-2 with 15 strikeouts and a 2.28 ERA over four starts against Pittsburgh this year.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 66 games against NL Central opponents, Brewers starters have an ERA of 3.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.08.
Milwaukee’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .261/.333/.406 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Christian Yelich has helped lead the Brewers’ offense this season with 30 home runs, 89 RBIs, 101 runs and 19 steals.
In the visiting dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.04 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 7.49 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.09, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 9.65.
The Pirates offense has slashed .253/.320/.406 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Pittsburgh’s offense has been led by Starling Marte. Marte is slashing .272/.317/.450 with 19 home runs, 66 RBIs, 75 runs and 32 stolen bases.
The Pirates are looking for another victory after a 3-1 win in the prior game of this series.
Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in only two of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
Both teams have launched 10 home runs over their last 10 games.
Pittsburgh has posted 22.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.
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