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Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview 05/05/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays will face their divisional rival Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field. The matchup will begin at 6:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Sun.

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays Odds

Both teams have matching moneyline odds (-105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +140 for the Blue Jays -1.5 runs and -160 for the Rays +1.5 runs.

Jets vs Predators

The Blue Jays have gone 18-15 SU this year and are 18-14 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 3.4 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 4.0 units ATS. The Rays, on the other hand, are 14-16 SU and 16-13 ATS. The team has lost 3.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 3.5 units ATS.

Tampa Bay games have had an over/under record of 17-12 so far in 2018. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 16-13-3.

The right-handed Aaron Sanchez is getting the start for the visiting Blue Jays. Sanchez is 2-2 with a 4.06 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face Tampa Bay this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-0 record with a 1.13 ERA and seven strikeouts.

The Rays are preparing to start righty Jake Faria (2-1, 4.60 ERA), who has 26 strikeouts and 15 walks, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Faria made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-1 record in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 3.09 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has yielded 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.19 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.7 K/9. In 15 games against AL East foes, Rays starters have an ERA of 5.67 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.13.

Tampa Bay’s offense is putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .234/.288/.351 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Rays’ offense has been led by second baseman Daniel Robertson and catcher Wilson Ramos. Robertson is hitting .297/.447/.500 with 22 hits, eight RBIs and 14 runs scored, while Ramos has put up a line of .310/.363/.512 with four homers, 15 RBIs and 10 runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.290/.447, Ramos appeared to have some trouble facing righties at home last year, slashing .250/.261/.324 across 69 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 5.59 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has logged a solid ERA of just 3.18, along with a WHIP of 1.44 and a K/9 of 9.22.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .234/.322/.431 on their way to 5.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Kevin Pillar and third baseman Yangervis Solarte have led Toronto’s hitters. Pillar is hitting .312/.362/.544 with four home runs, 16 RBIs, 22 runs and six steals, while Solarte is hitting .277/.360/.555 with nine homers, 22 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have gained 4.2 units and are 10-10 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 10 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Rays have lost 3.0 units and are 8-10 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve cashed the under.

Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in only two of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.

The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games SU.

Toronto has posted 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.

The Blue Jays have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Rays have hit 18 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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