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Utah Jazz vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Preview 11/25/18

Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports

The Sacramento Kings (10-9) challenge the Utah Jazz (8-11) at the Golden 1 Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 25, 2018.

Utah Jazz vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Prediction

The last time the Jazz played, they were beaten by the Los Angeles Lakers, 90-83, and were unable to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (173) finished well under the O/U total of 219.5. Los Angeles’ 0.500 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Utah, who had a mark of 0.412. The Lakers’ mark was below their season average of 0.538, while the Jazz’s was below their season average of 0.518. Joe Ingles played well for Utah, contributing 16 points, eight rebounds and five assists.

The Kings lost a tough one against the Golden State Warriors in their last game, 117-116, but did cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (233) finished over the O/U total of 222. Golden State was successful at getting to and converting from the charity stripe. The Warriors made 25 of their 29 free throws (86.2 percent), while the Kings were 21-29 (72.4 percent). Sacramento’s Marvin Bagley III finished with 20 points and 17 rebounds in the contest.

Sacramento could have their way on the offensive side of the ball as their sweet-shooting offense faces off against one of the league’s worst defenses. The Kings rank fifth in effective field goal percentage (0.535), while Utah ranks 25th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.536).

Utah holds records of 8-11 straight up (SU) and 8-11 against the spread (ATS). Jazz games tend to go over the total (63.2 percent).

Meanwhile, Sacramento is 10-9 SU and 11-7 ATS. Much like Utah, games including the Kings also have typically gone over the total (61.1 percent).

Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 16 points,3.4 assists over the last five games for Sacramento.

Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Kings won the most recent matchup 119-110, covering as 10-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 229 points, which was 7 points above the projected point total of 222 points. Sacramento’s effective field goal percentage was its biggest advantage over Utah. The Kings had a rate of 0.590 while the Jazz posted a mark of 0.500. Despite the loss, Donovan Mitchell was the game’s leading scorer with 35 points.

Jazz at Kings Pick

Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes:

Utah ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while Sacramento ranks 27th (48.8).

Sacramento ranks 11 in steals per game (8.210526315789474) while Utah ranks 22 in steals allowed per game (8.736842105263158).

The Jazz average 13 second chance points per game, which ranks 17 in the NBA. The Kings rank 23 in second chance points allowed per game (15.105263157894736).

Utah is 5-7 ATS on the road, while Sacramento is 6-2 ATS at home.

Bettings Trends:

Over its last five games, Utah is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.

The Jazz’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 7.4, up from 3.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 113.6 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.8 points per game (1.0 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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