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Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Matchup 09/15/18

Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals will be squaring off against their division rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The matchup can be viewed across the country on Fox and the game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves Odds

Vegas is listing Atlanta (-150) as the favorite over Washington (+140). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -155 for the Nationals +1.5 runs and +135 for the Braves -1.5.

The Braves are 83-64 straight up (SU) and 75-70 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 20.4 units for moneyline bettors and 1.2 units (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Nationals are 74-74 SU and have gone 69-78 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 23.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Braves games have an over/under record of 68-71-6 in 2018. The Nationals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 67-77-3.

Right-hander Jeremy Hellickson is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. Hellickson is 5-3 with a 3.57 ERA and 64 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves will turn to righty Julio Teheran (9-7, 3.95 ERA), who has 145 strikeouts and 73 walks to his name as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Teheran is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 7.56 ERA across two starts against Washington this year.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.08 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.93 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.94, along with a K/9 of 8.53.

Nationals hitters have slashed .252/.332/.416 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced Washington’s hitters. The speedy Turner is slashing .268/.338/.407 with 17 home runs, 63 RBIs, 90 runs and 39 stolen bases, while Rendon (.295/.360/.501) has produced 19 homers, 71 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.48 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 64 games against divisional opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.85.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .284/.373/.491 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that span.

The Braves’ batters have been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .308/.374/.458 with 14 home runs, 91 RBIs and 76 runs scored, and Freeman’s line is .306/.388/.498 with 21 homers, 86 RBIs and 90 runs.

The Nationals have lost 6.5 units and are 52-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 48 of those games, compared to 57 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 21.6 units and are 57-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 51 which went under the total.

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Washington has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Atlanta has 21 XBH over its last five.

Atlanta has recorded 23.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.

Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.

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Written by GMS Previews

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